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Nikola Jokic Best Prop Bets for Nuggets at Thunder on Monday 3/10/25

Nikola Jokic Best Prop Bets for Nuggets at Thunder on Monday 3/10/25

Sports Betting Picks NBA DraftKings Network Rail

Updated:

By: Alex Hunter

For the second day in a row, the Nuggets are facing the Thunder in Oklahoma City. On DraftKings Sportsbook, the Thunder are favored by nine points and the game carries a total of 238 points.

Below, I have featured my favorite Nikola Jokic prop bet to consider from this contest.

Best Nikola Jokic Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Nikola Jokic O 25.5 Points (-125)

After being held to 24 points by the Thunder yesterday, Jokic should have a better showing as a scorer in Monday’s rematch with Oklahoma City. First off, the center has been incredible on the second leg of back-to-back sets this season, averaging 33.1 PPG over the eight instances he has played his second game in two nights. Also, Aaron Gordon hurt his calf yesterday vs. the Thunder and didn’t return to the contest. Gordon was sidelined for over 20 games with a calf injury earlier this season, and while the Nuggets’ injury report for Monday has yet to be released, Gordon playing Monday would be a big surprise.

With Gordon likely inactive, Jokic should take on a larger role as a scorer and dominate. In the 20 starts he has made with Gordon sidelined this season, Jokic is averaging 31.4 PPG with a 31.3% usage rate, which is a 2.4 percentage point increase from his season average.

Lastly, while the Thunder lead the league in defensive rating this season, they should rest Chet Holmgren after the big man played yesterday. Holmgrem hasn’t played two games in two nights since November, as he is regularly rested for one leg of back-to-back sets. Holmgren is an outstanding defender and the Thunder’s defensive rating has been nearly two points worse with him off court this season.

This 25.5-point line is too low for Jokic in this situation and attacking him for this over quickly is a sharp move, as this number will increase once Gordon and Holmgren are ruled out.

Alex Hunter
Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.