Monday’s main slate on DraftKings includes the first seven games of the night. Below, I dive into three of my favorite DFS options to consider for tonight’s NBA action.
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PG/SG, Jamal Murray, Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers, $7,700
This matchup between the Nuggets and Pacers carries a huge 245.5-point total on DraftKings Sportsbook, which is the highest total on the slate by a significant 12 points. Plus, Denver is only favored by five points. This is without question the best game to target for this slate and Murray is one of the top ways to gain access to this tilt at $7,700. The guard was priced up to $8,100 just two games ago and Murray has been excellent this month with 41.8 FPTS per game. During this timeframe, the Kentucky product is handling a 25.6% usage rate and he is shooting 55% from the field, including an elite 49% from beyond the arc.
Both the Nuggets and Pacers rank top-eight in pace this season, and Indiana is playing their second game in two nights. Denver’s mammoth 125.5-point implied team total on DraftKings Sportsbook is the largest on the slate and Murray is a lock for over 40 FPTS in this spot. When playing behind an implied team total of at least 120 points this season, Murray is producing 44.2 FPTS per game and he has eclipsed 40 FPTS in nine of those 15 starts.
SF/PF, Cameron Johnson, Brooklyn Nets at Washington Wizards, $6,400
Johnson is an excellent value play Monday. The Nets will be without Cam Thomas (hamstring) and D’Angelo Russell (ankle), leaving Johnson as their main offensive weapon. In the seven starts the forward has made with both Thomas and Russell this season, Johnson is leading Brooklyn with 37.9 FPTS per game and a 26.4% usage rate, which is a 3.5 percentage point lift from his season average. Johnson is amassing 1.1 FPTS per minute with both Thomas and Russell off the floor this season, and this matchup with the Wizards is a perfect spot for Johnson.
Washington ranks second-to-last in defensive efficiency and they are on the second leg of a back-to-back set. Additionally, they are allowing the fourth-most made three pointers in the NBA, which bodes very well for a sharpshooter like Johnson, who is attempting 6.8 three pointers per game this season. Johnson has a ceiling over 40 FPTS and is underpriced for that type of upside.
PF, Jerami Grant, Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz, $5,200
Grant is on the heels of a 32.75 FPTS effort in Saturday’s eyepopping 53-point blowout win over the Hornets and he is a strong target again Monday. Both Deandre Ayton (calf) and Robert Williams (knee) missed that huge win Saturday and will remain out Monday. With these two centers sidelined, Grant sees more work as a small ball center, naturally boosting his numbers. In the five starts Grant has made with both Ayton and Williams inactive this season, Grant is supplying 31.9 FPTS in 33 minutes per game. Both his usage and rebound rates have seen increases in those contests and Grant should have no problems exceeding five-times value tonight against the Jazz.
Utah ranks dead last in defensive efficiency this season and the Trail Blazers sport a large 119.5-point implied team total on DraftKings Sportsbook, which is the largest implied team total they have seen this season.
