Saturday night, Jared Cannonier will headline his fifth straight UFC Fight Night. Cannonier will face rising star Gregory Rodrigues in a five-round middleweight bout. Rodrigues is on a three-fight win streak while winning five of his previous six contests in the UFC. Cannonier will look to snap a two-fight losing streak and avoid losing three in a row for the first time in his career. The Prelims begin at 4 p.m. ET, while the main card will start at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Here is my favorite prop bet for Cannonier for his fight against Rodrigues tonight.
Jared Cannonier over 46.5 Significant Strikes (-115)
Since moving down to middleweight in 2018, Cannonier has been a staple of the 185-pound division. Cannonier has the record for the most significant strikes in a UFC middleweight bout. Although he has failed to get in the win column lately, Cannonier has still recorded many strikes.
It is surprising that Cannonier’s total for significant strikes is set at 46.5, considering his recent outings in this area. Cannonier has hit this mark in his previous five fights while landing 84 significant strikes in his last fight against Caio Borralho. He has only been finished three times in the UFC, but his last loss came in the fourth round vs. Nassourdine Imavov.
If Cannonier can make this fight against Rodrigues a long contest, he will likely finish with more than 46.5 significant strikes. Although Cannonier is the smaller fighter by four inches, he has a more extensive standing reach. Cannonier has a substantial advantage in experience and is a big underdog in this contest at +195 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
