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NBA DFS Value Pick: Start Paul George if Joel Embiid sits vs. the Raptors

NBA DFS Value Pick: Start Paul George if Joel Embiid sits vs. the Raptors

Published:

By: Alex Hunter

Joel Embiid ($10,000, knee) is questionable tonight vs. the Raptors.

Below, I break down my favorite value play from the 76ers if Embiid is out.


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SF/PF, Paul George, Philadelphia 76ers vs. Toronto Raptors, $7,400

With tonight being the first leg of a back-to-back set for the 76ers, they very well could sit Embiid, as the former MVP no longer plays both games of back-to-back sets. If Embiid is out, George will garner a much larger role that isn’t reflected in his $7,400 price tag, which is a huge drop from the $8,200 salary George carried just two games ago.

Embiid is leading the NBA in usage this season and his absence naturally creates a massive void for Philadelphia. With Embiid off the floor this season, George’s usage rises 2.8 percentage points to 28.1% and he scores 1.2 FPTS per minute. George has made 18 starts without Embiid this season and George is producing 37.3 FPTS per game in those contests.

As for his matchup, the Raptors rank seventh in pace and 25th in defensive efficiency, and their defense should be even weaker than usual with Jakob Poeltl (hip) out. With the center off the floor this season, the Raptors’ defensive rating has been 3.5 points worse than their rating with Poeltl on the court. Toronto has given up a whopping 123.9 PPG in the eight contests Poeltl has missed this season and George will have a 50 FPTS upside in this spot if Embiid sits.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $300K Fadeaway [$100K to 1st]

Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.