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DraftKings NBA DFS Cheat Sheet: Picks, Matchup Analysis and Injury News for February 4

DraftKings NBA DFS Cheat Sheet: Picks, Matchup Analysis and Injury News for February 4

Published:

By: Garion Thorne

It’s the one of the wackiest basketball weeks of the year, so let’s put all the information you’ll need for tonight’s seven-game DraftKings NBA slate in one place, shall we?

Below, you’ll find injury updates, matchup breakdowns and DFS picks. What more could anyone want?

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Key Injury News

IN: Max Christie, Dorian Finney-Smith

QUESTIONABLE: Joel Embiid, Andre Drummond, Caleb Martin, Bruce Brown

OUT: Anthony Davis, PJ Washington, Ben Simmons

Click here for the slate’s full injury report


Matchup Analysis

Best Defensive Rating (Last 10 Games)

  1. Toronto Raptors vs. NYK (105.7)
  2. Portland Trail Blazers vs. IND (107.5)
  3. Los Angeles Lakers at LAC (108.2)

Worst Defensive Rating (Last 10 Games)

  1. Philadelphia 76ers vs. DAL (121.9)
  2. Dallas Mavericks at PHI (118.4)
  3. Miami Heat at CHI (116.0)

Fastest Pace (Last 10 Games)

  1. Chicago Bulls vs. MIA (102.2)
  2. Indiana Pacers at POR (101.2)
  3. Dallas Mavericks at PHI (100.1)

Slowest Pace (Last 10 Games)

  1. Brooklyn Nets vs. HOU (95.0)
  2. Los Angeles Lakers at LAC (96.8)
  3. Philadelphia 76ers vs. DAL (97.0)

Highest Game Total

  1. Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers (238)
  2. Indiana Pacers at Portland Trail Blazers (234)
  3. New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors (229.5)

Top DFS Pick

SF/PF Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers, $9,800

With back-to-back massive performances, Tatum appears to have found his way out of the shooting slump that terrorized his final week of January. That’s good news, as he and the Celtics will need to be in top form to keep pace with Cleveland’s explosive offensive attack. To wit, the Cavaliers have the NBA’s best offensive rating across their last 10 games, scoring 124.3 points per 100 possessions. Thankfully, Tatum’s had a great deal of success in this specific matchup so far in 2024-25, registering exactly 33 points each of the previous two times these teams have squared off. Tatum leads Boston with a 30.5% usage rate and he averages a healthy 1.38 FPTS per minute. Any time you can get him in a lineup for less than $10,000, it feels like a value opportunity, especially when he’s participating in the contest with the slate’s highest implied total.


Top Value Pick

SF/PF Dorian Finney-Smith, Los Angeles Lakers at Los Angeles Clippers, $4,000

We’re three days removed from the trade that shook the world, but the Lakers remain shorthanded, as Luka Doncic (calf) and Maxi Kleber (foot) are not yet healthy enough to play. Jaxson Hayes ($4,600) appears to have established himself in the team’s starting five in place of Anthony Davis, yet now it’s on JJ Redick to find a replacement for Max Christie, who averaged 31.4 minutes and 11.0 points per game in January. The two most likely options? Gabe Vincent ($3,400) and Finney-Smith. In truth, regardless of which nets the starting nod, both will likely be asked to shoulder a large role on Tuesday evening. In Saturday’s win over the Knicks — a contest where Christie was still in Lakers’ gold — Finney-Smith and Vincent ranked first and second among reserves in minutes, with the former logging 31.8 and scoring 15 points. Both are viable at their discounted price, but I’d lean towards Finney-Smith.

Garion is a Toronto-based writer who has been playing fantasy sports since elementary school. With a particular affinity for advanced statistics and sabermetrics, he’s been covering DFS Baseball, Football and Basketball for DraftKings dating back to 2018. Prior to that, Garion’s work could be found at FNTSY, SportsGrid, HoopsHype, The New York Daily News and Sportsnet.ca. Still, he is a Dolphins fan, so his decision-making can be questioned from time-to-time.
Disclaimer

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.