The Chiefs and Eagles will go head-to-head in Super Bowl for the second time in the last three years on Feb. 9. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Kansas City is favored by 1.5 points and this game carries a total of 48.5 points.
DraftKings offers a plethora of way to attack the big game, including prop bets and Showdown contests for DFS.
Here’s everything you need to know about Hollywood Brown heading into Super Bowl LIX.
Hollywood Brown Prop Bets
Anytime Touchdown: +270
Receiving Yards: Over 41.5 (-109)
Receptions: Over 3.5 (-134)
Longest Reception: Over 18.5 yards (-120)
Hollywood Brown Best Prop Bets
Hollywood Brown Under 41.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Brown has seen underwhelming usage so far in the postseason. While he has run a route on 73 percent of his team’s dropbacks, Brown has only seen a 14 percent target share. Patrick Mahomes has heavily relied on Travis Kelce and Xavier Worthy, with these two pass catchers garnering 26 and 24 percent target shares, respectively. This isn’t a surprise, since Kelce and Worthy have played in every game with Mahomes this season, while Brown has only suited up for four contests, including the postseason.
Brown didn’t catch either of his two targets in the Divisional Round against the Texans, and he caught three of his five targets for 35 yards against the Bills in the AFC Championship.
Now, Brown faces the Eagles in the Super Bowl, who are one of the best defenses in the league. Philadelphia is allowing the fewest yards per pass in the NFL this season (5.5). The Eagles are giving up the third-fewest yards and third-lowest completion percentage to receivers.
Expecting Brown to exceed 41.5 receiving yards in this spot is unreasonable and betting this under way ahead of the Super Bowl is a sharp move, as this line is likely to keep dropping as we get closer to the big game.
Hollywood Brown DFS Analysis
Captain: $8,100 | FLEX: $5,400
For all the same reasons Brown is a great bet for under 41.5 receiving yards, he is a player fade for Showdown contests. Brown has yet to crack double-digit FPTS in a game this season and he is scoring only 0.2 FPTS per snap. The only appeal to Brown is that he is likely to see low ownership, but his upside is limited in this matchup with the Eagles. Instead, exploring other options is the right choice.
At a slightly more expensive price, Dallas Goedert ($5,800) is a far better target. After missing four of the Eagles’ last five games of the regular season with a hamstring injury and then playing limited snaps in the season finale, the tight end has seen elite usage in the postseason. In Philadelphia’s three playoff games, Goedert is tied with A.J. Brown for the highest target share on the team at 29 percent, and Goedert has run a route on 74 percent of his team’s dropbacks. During this span, the tight end has caught 83 percent of his targets and produced 13.7 FPTS per game. Facing a Chiefs’ defense that has been shredded by tight ends all season, giving up the most yards to the position, Goedert should be peppered with targets. He has great upside relative to his affordable salary.
Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL Showdown $5M Super Bowl LIX Millionaire [$1M to 1st] (Super Bowl)
