Our computer model predicts a victory for the Buffalo Bills when they face the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 26 at 6:30 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.
Chiefs vs. Bills Predictions
- Our pick to win on the Moneyline in this matchup is the Bills, by a final score of Bills 24, Chiefs 23.
- Against the spread, we expect that the Bills will cover. The spread is currently Chiefs -1.5.
- As for the total, we see this one going under the posted over/under of 48.5 points. Our projected total for the match is 46.6 points.
Chiefs vs. Bills Odds
- Spread favorite: Chiefs (-1.5)
- Moneyline: Chiefs (-125), Bills (+105)
- Total: 48.5 points
Chiefs Betting Trends
- The Chiefs put together a 7-10-0 record against the spread in the regular season, and their record in the playoffs is 0-1-0.
- Kansas City has covered the spread six times this season (6-8 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites (regular season and playoffs).
- A total of seven of the Chiefs’ games in the regular season went over the point total, and zero of one in the playoffs.
- The Chiefs won all 14 of the games they were listed as the Moneyline favorite in the regular season. They are 1-0 as a Moneyline favorite in the postseason.
- Kansas City has played 14 times as a Moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or shorter, including the regular season and postseason, and claimed a victory in each game.
Bills Betting Trends
- The Bills put together a 10-7-0 ATS record in the regular season and have an ATS record of 2-0-0 in the playoffs.
- Buffalo has been an underdog by 1.5 points or more three times in the regular season and postseason combined, and has covered the spread in two of those games.
- Bills games hit the over 11 out of 17 times in the regular season, and zero of two playoff games have hit the over.
- The Bills won two of the four games in which they were underdogs during the regular season, and are 1-0 in the postseason.
- Buffalo is 2-1 this season (regular season and playoffs) when entering a game as the underdog by +105 or more on the Moneyline.
Chiefs Key Stats
- Total offense: 327.6 yards per game, 16th in NFL
- Passing offense: 222.4 yards per game, 14th in NFL
- Rushing offense: 105.3 yards per game, 22nd in NFL
- Total defense: 320.6 yards per game, ninth in NFL
- Passing defense: 218.8 yards per game, 18th in NFL
- Rushing defense: 101.8 yards per game, eighth in NFL
Bills Key Stats
- Total offense: 359.1 yards per game, 10th in NFL
- Passing offense: 227.9 yards per game, ninth in NFL
- Rushing offense: 131.2 yards per game, ninth in NFL
- Total defense: 341.5 yards per game, 17th in NFL
- Passing defense: 226.1 yards per game, 24th in NFL
- Rushing defense: 115.5 yards per game, 12th in NFL
This article contains AI-generated editorial insights provided by Data Skrive.
