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Derrick Henry best prop bets against the Bills in the Divisional Round

Derrick Henry best prop bets against the Bills in the Divisional Round

Published:

By: Blake Krass

The Ravens take on the Bills in an epic AFC Divisional Round matchup. Here are some Derrick Henry prop bets to consider at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Derrick Henry Prop Bets

Here are Derrick Henry’s current prop bet odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. His prop lines are set at o/u 96.5 rushing yards and o/u 7.5 receiving yards. Henry is -210 to score a touchdown, +275 to score 2+ touchdowns and +475 to score the first touchdown of the game.

Derrick Henry moved from Tennessee to Baltimore in the offseason with the goal of winning a Super Bowl. He had a fantastic debut season with the Ravens, rushing for over 1,900 yards and scoring 18 total touchdowns. That was the second-most rushing yards and tied for the most rushing touchdowns among all backs in the NFL this season. Despite the fantastic regular season, this was the time of year that the Ravens had in mind when they acquired Derrick Henry. He didn’t get too many playoff chances when he was with the Titans but when he did, he performed at an extremely high level, averaging 114.8 rushing yards per game in eight career playoff appearances. After a long season when most players are tired and worn down, Henry only gets stronger. On a smaller scale, he wears opponents down throughout the course of games until he’s able to break a big gain.

The Bills and Ravens should play an incredible game on Sunday. These are two of the best teams in the NFL and it will be an interesting matchup on every level. When it comes to the run game, the Ravens ranked second in the NFL in EPA/rush and second in rushing success rate during the regular season. On the other side, the Bills’ defense ranked fifth in defensive EPA/rush during the regular season. Buffalo also allowed less than 100 rushing yards to the Broncos in the Wild Card Round. That being said, the Ravens will be a much tougher test and they can attack the Bills’ defense in so many different ways. These teams did face off in the regular season and the Ravens dominated that game, winning 35-10 in Baltimore. Henry had a massive outing in that first matchup, rushing for a season-high 199 yards and a touchdown.

My favorite prop bet for this game is for Henry to rush for over 96.5 yards. When it comes to the postseason, there is no reason for the Ravens not to feed Henry the entire game. He had 24 carries in the regular season matchup against Buffalo, tied for his third-highest total of the season. Henry has at least 20 carries in five of his eight career playoff games and should rack up touches on Sunday. The Ravens will want to control the clock and take the Buffalo crowd out of the game early on. There is also expected to be bad weather in Buffalo, which would make running the ball with Henry an even more obvious option. If things didn’t lean Henry’s way enough already, Zay Flowers is also going to miss this game. Without their top receiver, the Ravens should let Henry carry the load and dominate this one against the Bills.

Pick: Derrick Henry o96.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Blake Krass has contributed to DraftKings since 2024, and is a content creator with a specialty in sports betting. Blake primarily focuses on college football and NFL coverage but will also be covering college basketball, the NBA, MLB and more. Prior to arriving at DK, Blake was a sports betting writer for The Action Network.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and customer (my username is blakekrass) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.