After a full weekend with six Wild Card games last week, the NFL is ready for the Divisional Round with the Lions and Chiefs coming off the sidelines after their bye weeks to face last week’s winners in four excellent matchups. It should be another great weekend of football, especially now that the top teams are in action and everyone is looking to advance to next week’s Conference Championship games. Let’s take a look at some of the betting trends coming into these contests.
Each week throughout the season, I’ve highlighted the relevant info for the biggest matchups from DraftKings Sportsbook to help you find the stats and trends that matter. You can use these numbers to fill out your Divisionsl Round betting card with single bets or combine picks into an awesome parlay. Just a quick reminder before we begin: “SU” means “Straight Up,” while “ATS” stands for “Against the Spread.” Spreads used in records are taken from DraftKings Sportsbook at the kickoff of each game.
Make sure to check out our betting splits table as well, where you can see where the public is leaning in each matchup.
Throughout the week leading up to kickoff, DK Network will bring plenty of insight on NFL betting picks, NFL DFS contests, and more specific insights on player props, matchups, and strategies.
See the betting trends for each playoff game below.
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Texans knocked off the Chargers last week with a dominant defensive performance, and now they’ll head to Kansas City to face the Chiefs, who are coming off their bye week.
The Texans are 4-2 SU in their last six games and 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against the AFC. They’re also 5-1 ATS in their last six games in January and 6-2 SU in their last eight Saturday matchups. However, they are only 1-5 SU in their last six games against the Chiefs and 3-6 ATS in their last nine meetings. The Texans have never won as a playoff road underdog, going 0-5 SU.
The Chiefs are an impressive 18-2 SU in their last 20 games but are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11. Straight up, the Chiefs have won 11 consecutive home games and 16 in a row as favorites. The Chiefs are also 15-2 SU in their last 17 games against the AFC. Kansas City has covered in six straight playoff games but is only 1-3 ATS the last four times as favorites by a touchdown or more.
The under is 20-7 in the Chiefs’ last 27 home games, 13-4 in their last 17 games on a Saturday, and 5-1 in their last six games overall. The over is 6-0 in the last six matchups between these two teams and 5-1 in the last six games the Texans have played the AFC West.
Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
Like the Chiefs, the Lions are returning from a bye week. They’ll host the Commanders, who went on the road and knocked off the Bucs SU/ATS as underdogs last week.
The Commanders charge into the Motor City with some great momentum. They are 10-2 SU in their last 12 NFC matchups and 6-0 AU/4-2 ATS in their last six games overall. While they are 5-0 SU in their last five against the NFC, they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games when playing on the road against Detroit and 1-6 SU/ATS in their last seven contests.
The Lions are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games overall and 14-5 ATS in their last 19. The Lions are 6-1 SU in their last seven home games. Against the NFC, the Lions are 10-0 SU in their last ten games and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 conference games.
The under is 11-4 in Washington’s last 15 games in January and 4-1 in its last five road games. The under is also 8-4 in the last 12 head-to-head meetings between these two teams, but the over is 4-1 in the Lions’ last five games. and 4-2 in their last six games as the favorite.
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Rams and Eagles each won SU/ATS at home last week. The Eagles crushed the Packers on Sunday afternoon, while the Rams dispatched the Vikings on Monday Night Football. Both defenses looked very strong, forcing turnovers and limiting scoring.
The Rams are 6-1 SU/ATS in their last seven games and 5-0 ATS in their last five road games. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last six games as the underdog and 4-1 SU in their last five games against the NFC but only 2-4 SU in their last six against the NFC East.
On the other side of this matchup, the Eagles are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as favorites. They are 8-0 SU in their last eight home games and 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games against the Rams.
The under has almost all the trends for these two teams. The under is 20-3 in the Eagles’ last 23 games in January and 15-4 in their last 19 games in the playoffs as favorites. The under is 4-0 in the Rams’ last four playoff games and 4-1 in their last five overall.
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Ravens and Bills also won at home last week getting SU/ATS victories over the Steelers and Broncos, respectively. This sets up a great matchup between star QBs and leading MVP candidates Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen in the final game of the weekend.
In Week 4 of this season, the Ravens trampled the Bills, running all over them in a 35-10 win. Baltimore is 5-0 SU/ATS in its last five games and is 4-2 SU/4-1-1 ATS in its last six against the Bills. The Ravens are 7-1 SU in their last eight against the AFC and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 against the AFC East. In the playoffs, the Ravens are 14-5 ATS on the road and 3-0 SU/ATS in their three road games as the favorite.
The Bills have gone 11-2 SU/9-4 ATS in their last 13 games and are 18-3 SU in their last 21 home games including 9-0 SU in their last nine. They have also gone 8-1 SU in their last nine against the AFC and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games played on a Sunday.
The under is 10-2 in the last 12 head-to-head matchups between these teams and 5-1 in their last six meetings in Buffalo. However, the over is 7-3 in the Bills’ last 10 games overall and 13-5 in the Ravens’ last 18.
