The Chiefs start their quest for a three-peat against the frisky Texans in Saturday’s AFC Divisional Round showdown. It wasn’t another All-Pro campaign for Patrick Mahomes, but there’s no question he’s the most dominant postseason quarterback in the league.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Kansas City is currently a 7.5-point favorite, with the game’s total set at 41.5 points. Below, I’ve detailed my favorite prop bets centered around Mahomes in this pivotal contest.
Best Patrick Mahomes Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Patrick Mahomes is catching fire at the perfect time. For much of this season, he hasn’t filled up the box score, in large part due to his shaky supporting cast. Travis Kelce took a while to return to his Hall of Fame form. Andy Reid was scheming rookie speedster Xavier Worthy open but struggled to generate separation himself. When Isiah Pacheco went down, the club trotted out Carson Steele and Kareem Hunt to run the rock, and both struggled mightily with efficiency.
The Mahome ascension has tied into a dramatic shift in his situation. Pacheco is back, which helps unlock the play-action pass game. Kelce is starting to find his next gear.
The midseason addition of DeAndre Hopkins, paired with a returning Hollywood Brown and rapidly improving Worthy, provides a suitable receiving core. In the two games that the trio has played, Mahomes soared past the 250+ yard marker, including cracking 300 for only the second time this season in his most recent performance. Mahomes cleared the threshold in the first meeting against Houston and will be coming out firing off a bye.
Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-150)
Mahomes is a force near the end zone. Even in a “down” statistical year, he threw for multiple scores in half of his outings. He’s also matched this in eight of his last ten postseason games and is historically spectacular when the lights are brightest. The offense is starting to click, and points will naturally follow—this one’s a no-brainer.
Patrick Mahomes Under .5 Interceptions (-110)
At his core, Mahomes is still a gunslinger who likes to push the ball vertically. This season, he’s been far more conservative, and maximizing possessions has been a priority. Mahomes hasn’t tossed a pick in six straight showings. That ball protection has translated to the playoffs, where he’s only thrown one interception in his last seven postseason showings. The value here is too good to pass up.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, parlaying these three plays is +380 odds.
