The Bengals host the Broncos in Week 17 in a special Saturday afternoon NFL game with huge playoff implications. Here are some Joe Burrow prop bets to consider at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Joe Burrow Prop Bets
Here are Joe Burrow’s current prop bet odds at DraftKings Sportsbook: o/u 280.5 passing yards and o/u 2.5 passing TDs. Burrow is +350 to score a touchdown, +3000 to score 2+ touchdowns and +1700 to score the first touchdown of the game.
Joe Burrow has had an exceptional season despite the Bengals potentially missing the playoffs. Burrow leads the NFL in passing yards and passing touchdowns this season. He also ranks 4th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA+CPOE composite. It has been an incredible individual season for Burrow but they need two wins and a lot of help to get into the postseason. However, the Broncos are one of the teams that the Bengals are chasing down in the playoff race so this win would massively improve their chances at an AFC Wildcard spot. With Burrow at the helm, the Bengals could be an incerdibly dangerous team if they find their way into the playoffs.
This is a matchup of two of the elite units in the NFL. The Bengals’ offense ranks 6th in EPA/dropback and 3rd in dropback success rate. The Broncos’ defense ranks 1st in EPA/dropback and 3rd in dropback success rate. The Broncos are still an elite unit but have been a bit more vulnerable in recent weeks, ranking 8th in defensive dropback success rate since Week 10. In the month of December, the Broncos gave up nearly 500 passing yards and 32 points to Jameis Winston and the Browns. Last week, they gave up nearly 300 passing yards and 34 points to the Chargers. So, this defnese is more susceptible to the passing game in recent weeks.
My favorite prop bet for this game is for Joe Burrow to throw for over 2.5 touchdowns. You can get this prop bet at odds of +140 despite Joe Burrow completing this feat in seven straight games entering this matchup. Burrow will need to put on a special performance to keep his team’s playoff hopes alive and he has lived up to the bell on every occasion this season. 67.9% of the touchdowns that the Broncos have allowed this season have been through the air, the sixth-most of any defense in the league. Burrow should be able to connect with all of his weapons in this game to throw for at least three touchdowns.
Pick: Joe Burrow o2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+140)
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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