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Josh Allen best prop bet for Patriots at Bills

Josh Allen best prop bet for Patriots at Bills

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By: Ciaran Doyle

The Bills host the Patriots in Week 16 as Buffalo looks for their 12th win of the season. Allen has been on fire in recent weeks, and because of his stellar play, he is a -900 favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook to win MVP.

Can Allen put on his cape again and lead the Bills to victory?

Josh Allen Over 236.5 Pass Yds (-115)

My favorite prop bet for Allen this Sunday is for him to go over his passing total. He has hit the over on this number in four of his last five games, and a total of seven times in 14 games this season. Allen is currently ninth in the league in passing yards, averaging 242.5 passing yards per game.

He is facing an average passing defense this weekend, as New England ranks 16th in the NFL giving up 216.7 yards per game.

Allen was not passing the ball as effectively in the earlier part of the season but has really turned up the volume in the last two weeks. He has a total of 704 passing yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions over that time span.

Those are MVP numbers, and this New England defense is likely not good enough to slow him down. I expect Allen to continue his recent hot streak, and this game could get ugly early for the Patriots. Allen should hit the over on this number for the fifth time in six weeks.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and customer (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and cannot access any non-public information.

Ciaran Doyle
Ciaran has been an editor for the DraftKings Network team since 2023. He graduated from the University of Arizona before attending Arizona State University for his master’s degree in sports journalism. Ciaran previously covered Phoenix Rising FC for Cronkite News before joining DraftKings. He is passionate about sports betting, and his biggest focus has always been on the NFL and soccer. You can find him on X at @Ciaran_Doyle7.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.