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What is Jahmyr Gibbs’ fantasy ceiling for NFL Week 16 vs. the Bears with David Montgomery’s injury

What is Jahmyr Gibbs’ fantasy ceiling for NFL Week 16 vs. the Bears with David Montgomery’s injury

Updated:

By: Alex Hunter

After losing just their second game of the season Sunday vs. the Bills, the Lions received some brutal news Monday that Montgomery will miss the rest of the season with an MCL injury that requires surgery, per Dan Campbell.

Montgomery and Gibbs ($7,500) are the best running back duo in the NFL and with Montgomery sidelined, Gibbs should be a fantasy superstar in a more featured role.

With Montgomery only available for 30% of the snaps vs. Buffalo this past Sunday, Gibbs flourished with 28.4 FPTS. The back finished with 114 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns while logging a season-high 74.7% of the snaps.

With Montgomery inactive three times last season, Gibbs provided 23.2 FPTS per game while logging 72.2% of the snaps. In those three tilts, the back averaged 18 carries per game – including five redzone attempts – which was 68.3% of the Lions’ running back carries. Additionally, Gibbs averaged six catches per game and saw a target on 19% of his routes.

Gibbs ranks fourth among all running backs in FPTS per snap this season (0.53) and he should see right around 20 touches on weekly basis with Montgomery missing.

For Gibbs’ first game of the season without Montgomery, Gibbs faces the Bears this Sunday, who are yielding the fourth-most yards per rush this season (4.8). Gibbs has a ceiling over 30 FPTS in this beautiful spot and while he will be a popular option for DFS on DraftKings, Gibbs is a prime example of good chalk to embrace at his $7,500 salary, which is just too low for his upside with Montgomery unavailable.


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.