We have a full slate of games in Week 15 with no teams on a bye week. There are 13 games set for Sunday’s slate, followed by a doubleheader on Monday Night Football. DraftKings Sportsbook has you covered with a ton of available prop bets for Week 15, and below are some of my favorite picks.
OVER Picks
WR Malik Nabers Over 62.5 Rec Yds (-115)
This total does not seem high enough for a guy who has gone over this number in three straight games and is fourth in the NFL in targets. New Giants quarterback Drew Lock loves to get the ball to Nabers, as is proven in the stats. In the two games as a Giants starter, Lock has targeted Nabers a whopping 23 times. Nabers has only hauled in 13 of those, so these two definitely have room to improve.
With this kind of recent volume and production, Nabers is worth a look. However, what puts the cherry on top is the matchup, as the Giants face the Ravens who rank dead last in the NFL against the pass. Look for Nabers to breeze past this total on Sunday.
WR Davante Adams Over 65.5 Rec Yds (-120)
Adams has gone over this total in three straight games and is likely to make it four straight on Sunday. The Jets face the Jaguars, who are 31st in the NFL against the pass. It should be a big day for Rodgers and company, and Adams should be a big reason why.
He has been a huge part of the offense in recent weeks, with double-digit targets in four of his last five games. Over that span, Adams has been targeted 43 times. If he continues to see that kind of volume, this is a no-brainer with an elite matchup as well.
WR Terry McLaurin Over 67.5 Rec Yds (-115)
McLaurin has gone over this total in five of his last seven games, and I believe he will keep trending in the right direction. He is seventh in the NFL in receiving yards and is tied for second in receiving touchdowns. Similar to the first two receivers I took, Scary Terry also has an elite matchup this weekend. The Commanders take on the Saints in New Orleans, who rank 28th in the league against the pass. This looks like a great spot for Jayden Daniels and Terry McLaurin to have a day.
At the time of writing, the anytime touchdown odds for this game have not been released on DraftKings Sportsbook, but I recommend also taking a look at McLaurin’s odds to find paydirt for the 10th time this season.
UNDER Picks
RB Tyrone Tracy Jr. Under 45.5 Rush Yards (-115)
Tracy Jr. got off to a good start as the leading rusher for New York but has fallen off in recent weeks. He has failed to go over this total in three straight games and now faces the best-rushing defense in the NFL. As I mentioned earlier in the Malik Nabers section, Baltimore is dead last against the pass, while ranking best against the run. If you are Brian Daboll and the Giants, the way to attack this Ravens defense is pretty clear.
I expect every offense to try and attack Baltimore through the air, and this weekend should be no different. Unless Tracy Jr. gets some serious volume, I see him going under this number yet again on Sunday.
RB Nick Chubb Under 42.5 Rush Yds (-115)
Although Nick Chubb has gone over this number in four of seven games this season, I do not expect him to eclipse this total against Kansas City. The Chiefs are the third-best run defense in the league, only allowing 88.3 yards per game on the ground. Chubb has received a ton of carries since his return, averaging over 13 per game. However, he has been a shell of himself from years past, only averaging 3.1 yards per carry.
The injuries have made Chubb look below average, and I think it would take a turning back-of-the-clock performance from him to get over this total against a stellar run defense. His 3.1 yards per carry is dead last among qualified running backs.
RB James Cook Under 50.5 Rush Yds (-120)
I am usually a James Cook fan, but I simply can’t rely on him in this spot. Granted the Bills were trailing for most of last week’s game against the Rams, but Cook received a season-low six carries for 20 yards. This week, the Bills will face an even better run defense in the Lions. Detroit rank fifth in the NFL against the run and could jump out to an early lead just how the Rams did last week.
Josh Allen is also a massive part of the Buffalo rushing attack, which further takes away from Cook’s opportunities. He has gone under this total in three of his last five games, and I expect a similar performance again on Sunday.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
