The iron man streak continues. After being a limited participant in practice for much of the week while nursing a shoulder injury, the Dallas Cowboys will have wide receiver CeeDee Lamb available on Monday Night Football against the Cincinnati Bengals as they hope to salvage a 5-7 season.
They’ll need him to put up a big performance against the Bengals; although Lamb isn’t playing quite up to the lofty standards that he set last year when he finished third in Offensive Player of the Year voting, he’s still one of the NFL’s premier pass-catchers. In a Cowboys season marred by injury and inconsistency, Lamb has been a constant.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, the Cowboys (+185) are sizable underdogs, and the point total is set at 50. Below, I’ve identified my favorite prop bet centered around Lamb.
Best CeeDee Lamb Prop Bet on DraftKings Sportsbook
CeeDee Lamb U21.5 Yards Longest Reception (-115)
Cincinnati’s secondary does not get targeted a lot, but when they do, they tend to give up yardage in chunks. Opposing quarterbacks have challenged the Bengals through the air just 408 times, the 12th-fewest of any team, but have turned those attempts into 3,011 yards, an average of 7.4 yards per attempt that ranks ninth-worst in the NFL.
Fortunately for Cincinnati, they will be facing a team that lost most of its big-play juice when first-choice quarterback Dak Prescott, the MVP runner-up in 2023, went down with a season-ending hamstring tear in Week 9. While Prescott’s passes had an average of 7.9 intended air yards per attempt, his replacement, Cooper Rush (6.6 IAY/PA) is a far more conservative signal-caller. Dallas’ quarterback change has hurt the big-play prospects of Lamb, who has recorded just 11 catches of 20 yards or more this season and his recording his lowest yards per reception tally (11.1) of his career.
Lamb’s average depth of target has also dropped off precipitously with Rush at the helm, as he’s been running a lot of shorter routes and relying mostly on his speed to rack up yards after the catch. Still, even his elusiveness has been diminished somewhat in Rush’s four starts, perhaps because Rush has been less accurate than Prescott and has not led Lamb into open space as well as his predecessor.
While the Bengals are relatively susceptible to the big play — they’ve allowed 39 catches of 20+ yards this season, tied for the 11th-most in the NFL — Lamb will likely be neutralized by his QB. Lamb is still a good receiver, but with a conservative quarterback and a balky shoulder, I wouldn’t trust him to record any explosive plays tonight.
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