Detroit plays host to this TNF Packers vs. Lions matchup, but the predictions being made seem to indicate that sharps don’t care about home-field advantage in this one.
Let’s get into those predictions that have been made by looking through the moneyline, spread and game total betting splits from this round of Packers vs. Lions.
Game splits
Moneyline
The Lions (-175) are the popular play, without question. Seventy-eight percent of the moneyline bets for Packers vs. Lions have gone in Detroit’s favor. However, those best have only accounted for 68% of the handle.
On 22% of the moneyline bets, the Packers (+145) have seen 32% of the moneyline handle, indicating the sharps’ predictions lie with Green Bay defeating the Lions on Thursday.
Spread
The Lions are also the popular spread play, but less so than the moneyline. They’ve seen 64% of the spread bets, which have accounted for 62% of the spread handle. This indicated a sharp lean toward the Packers covering, but only slightly. Although, the moneyline lean we’ve seen does strengthen the case for Green Bay ATS.
The spread has also moved in accordance with the sharp action. After opening at 5-even and popping up to 5.5, this is now fluctuating between 3-even and 3.5.
Total
Since opening at 51-even, this has been fluctuating between that mark and 51.5. That strengthens the splits for this, which show the over is both the popular and sharp play, seeing 71% of the game-total handle on 66% of the game-total bets.
Trends to note
To close this preview out, here’s a look at active trends to note while casting your Packers vs. Lions predictions:
- The Lions enter this game riding a 10-game winning streak.
- The Packers have won the first quarter in each of the last eight games that they were the underdog.
- Jordan Love logged at least 256 passing yards in each of his last six games vs. the NFC North. (Passing yards O/U is 251.5)
- The Lions have won the first half in each of their last six games vs. the NFC.
- David Montgomery has at least 61 rushing yards in each of his last five games vs. the Packers. (Rushing yards O/U is 58.5.)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has 69 or more rushing yards in each of his last five home games. (Rushing yards O/U is 68.5.)
