The NFL Regular Season has reached Thanksgiving week, and Week 13 has plenty of matchups to fill up the holiday weekend with great matchups from the gridiron. No teams are on bye weeks, so there are 16 matchups to overflow your cornucopia with NFL action.
On Thanksgiving, there are three solid matchups, highlighted by the Dolphins and Packers in prime time after the traditional games in Detroit and Dallas. We get a Black Friday game this year between the Chiefs and Raiders, before Sunday afternoon’s 10-game schedule. It’s the second straight week with 10 games on Sunday afternoon, and just like last week, there are seven games in the early wave and three in the later afternoon.
Sunday Night Football is a critical matchup for the 49ers in Buffalo, who will hope to get healthy and make a late-season push for a playoff spot. For Monday Night Football, the attention of the league shifts to the Mile High City, where Sean Payton’s surging Broncos host the Browns.
Each week, I’ll post the relevant info for the biggest matchups from DraftKings Sportsbook to help you find the stats and trends that matter. You can use these numbers to fill out your Week 13 betting card with single bets or combine them into an awesome parlay. Just a quick reminder before we begin: “SU” means “Straight Up,” while “ATS” stands for “Against the Spread.” Spreads used in records are taken from DraftKings Sportsbook at the kickoff of each game.
Make sure to check out our betting splits table as well, where you can see where the public is leaning in each matchup.
Throughout the week leading up to kickoff, DK Network will bring plenty of insight on NFL betting picks, NFL DFS contests, and more specific insights on player props, matchups, and strategies throughout the season.
Below are the betting trends for the top five matchups of Week 13:
All odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds are subject to change.
Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Dolphins head to the frozen tundra on Thanksgiving night, as they continue their quest to climb back into the playoff picture. They are 3-0 SU/ATS in the last three weeks after winning SU/ATS against the Patriots last week. The Packers also won SU/ATS last week, beating the 49ers to improve to 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS in their last seven.
The Dolphins are only 2-14 SU in their last 16 games as the underdog, and 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games on a Thursday. On the other hand, the Dolphins are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in November and 9-2 SU in the last 11 years in Week 13.
The Packers have also had success in Week 13 recently, going 12-2 SU in the last 14 years. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with the Dolphins and 6-0 SU in their last six games vs. the AFC.
The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these teams and 5-1 in their last six matchups in Green Bay. The under is also 5-1 in the Dolphins’ last six road games and 13-2 in their last 15 games played on Thursday.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
In a big AFC North clash, the Bengals come back from their bye week to host the Steelers, who lead the division at 8-3 SU. The Bengals are just 4-7 SU/6-5 ATS after losing to the Chargers SU/ATS before their bye week. The Steelers were 5-0 SU/ATS before losing SU/ATS in the snow in Cleveland last Thursday.
The Steelers are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games vs. the Bengals and 9-2 SU in their last 11 in Cincinnati. They are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 divisional contests.
For the home team, the Bengals are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games in December, so they’ll be happy to see the calendar flip. They are 4-2 ATS in their last six, but still have a long way to go if they want to get back to the postseason.
The over is 7-1 in the Bengals’ last eight home games, 5-1 in their last six divisional games, and 8-2 in their last 10 games overall. The over is also 5-1 in the Steelers’ last six games and 4-1 in their last five on the road.
Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Eagles got a nice SU/ATS win last week in Los Angeles against the Rams and are 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS since their bye week. The Ravens also got a prime time victory, knocking off the Chargers SU/ATS on Monday night. Baltimore is 8-2 SU/6-4 ATS in its last 10 contests.
Fueled by an amazingly productive stretch from Saquon Barkley, the Eagles roll into Baltimore with plenty of positive momentum. They are 5-1 SU in their last six road games and 14-2 SU in their last 16 vs. the AFC. However, they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games in December.
The Ravens are 5-0 SU in their last five games in December and 7-1 SU in their last eight vs. the NFC East. They have won 12 straight games vs. the NFC and hare 25-3 SU in their last 28 non-conference games.
The over is 10-2 in the Ravens’ last 12 games and 7-1 in their last eight. The over is also 4-1 in the Ravens’ last five home games and 5-0 in their last five vs. the NFC. However, the under is 11-4 in the Eagles’ last 15 road games.
San Francisco 49ers at Buffalo Bills
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Bills are coming back from their bye week after getting a huge SU/ATS win over the Chiefs in Week 11. The 49ers are coming in with much worse momentum after losing SU/ATS at home to the Seahawks and SU/ATS on the road last week in Green Bay without starting QB Brock Purdy.
Purdy could return this week, but the Niners still face a tall task. They are 2-12 ATS in their last 12 Sunday road games including 0-5 ATS in their last five. They are also just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games against the Bills.
On the other side, the Bills are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in their last six games. They have also gone 10-0 SU in their last 10 games in December and 8-1 SU in their last nine games vs. the NFC.
The over is 5-1 in the Bills’ last six games and 8-0 in their last eight home games. The over is also 4-1 in the 49ers’ last five games vs. the AFC and 6-1 in their last seven vs. the AFC East.
Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Browns won SU/ATS in the snow last week on Thursday Night Football, and they’ll return from an extra-long off week on Monday in Denver against the Broncos, who won SU/ATS last week in Las Vegas.
The Browns are just 1-10 SU in their last 11 games vs. the AFC West, but they have gone 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in December. They are just 2-7 SU in their last nine overall, 1-6 SU in their last seven road games, and 2-12 SU in their last 14 trips to Denver.
The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six and 7-3 SU in their last 10. They are also 8-3 SU in their last 11 home games and 8-1 SU in their last nine home games vs. the Browns. However, the Broncos are just 1-7 SU in their last eight Monday Night Football games
The over is 12-3 in the Browns’ last 15 road games and 6-2 in the Broncos’ last eight games overall. The over is also 4-2 in the last six head-to-head games between these two teams.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is z.thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
