The third and final game on Thanksgiving is a good one. I’ll give you some of my favorite Dolphins Packers bets you can tail on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Jordan Love under 242.5 passing yards -115
The Dolphins have also been playing Cover 2 at one of the highest rates in the league. Jordan Love is not finding success against that type of coverage, with the 6th-lowest completion percentage over expected. He has a 61% completion rate with only one passing touchdown and two interceptions. This matchup against the Dolphins, who have also been great against perimeter receivers overall, could be difficult to for Love to move the ball through the air. It doesn’t help that Romeo Doubs is also in danger of missing this game. He’s been one of Love’s more consistent targets but is currently dealing with a concussion.
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De’Von Achane over 4.5 receptions +115
Achane is seeing a ton of targets since Tua has returned under center. Since Week 8, he’s averaging 5.8 targets per game. Currently, Tua has attempted a pass behind the line of scrimmage at a league-leading rate of 31%. Naturally, this is where nearly 70% of Achane’s targets come from, so these numbers make sense. Achane has at least five catches in three of the five games since Tua has returned. The games he didn’t were blowouts by the Dolphins the last two weeks, when they won by 15 and 19 points. The spread for this game is close at 3.5 points, which hopefully means the need for Achane to be targeted stays throughout the 60 minutes.
Josh Jacobs over 91.5 rush/receiving yards -115
Another player in a good spot Thursday night is Jacobs. He’s been one of the most explosive runners in the league. When we think of those explosive runners, Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry come to mind. Well, Jacobs has logged 25 runs explosive runs, which is tied for third with Lamar Jackson. Averaging a whopping 4.7 yards per carry, Jacobs can get a good chunk of this total on the ground. The Dolphins have also allowed a ton of yards after contact to opposing running backs. Jacobs, once again, is amongst the leaders in that category, registering 3.7 per carry. If this game stays close, I think Jacobs can clear this number.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests. The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups.
