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Ravens vs. Chargers Predictions: Week 12 MNF NFL Picks

Ravens vs. Chargers Predictions: Week 12 MNF NFL Picks

Published:

By: Nick Friar

Week 12’s Ravens vs. Chargers game features some rather lengthy streaks, which bettors can back as they cast their Monday Night Football predictions. But before we get into those, let’s take stock of the Ravens vs. Chargers predictions that have already been made. 

Below, you’ll find a breakdown of the betting splits for Monday Night Football’s moneyline, spread and game total bets.

Game splits

Moneyline

No surprise to see the favored Ravens (-148) emerge as the popular moneyline prediction vs. the Chargers (+124). Baltimore isn’t just the popular play, either. Eighty-three percent of the moneyline handle has gone toward the Ravens winning, and on 73% of this game’s moneyline bets.

Spread

Things here look very similar to the moneyline. The Ravens have seen 87% of the spread handle on 75% of the spread bets vs. the Chargers.

Now, there has been some odd movement with the spread amount. This opened at 3-even then plummeted to 1.5. It’s since climbed back and is now fluctuating between 2.5 and the opening line.

While the splits indicate the sharps are with Baltimore against the spread, the moneyline might be the better of the two options for Ravens vs. Chargers since it’s still a solid value.

Total

This opened at 47-even and now sits at 51-even. It’s never gone below the opening mark, but after the first peak of 51-even, this did crawl back to 49.5 for a time. The game total has since gone back up to the aforementioned 51-even, and it seems like it may stay in the 50-range.

That movement does track with the betting splits. There’s a 50/50 split between the percentage of bets, but 60% of the game-total handle has gone toward the over. The only issue with that is the steady incline we’ve seen makes it harder to move on the over at the current total.

To close things out, here are a few trends to consider before making your Ravens vs. Chargers predictions:

  • Derrick Henry has scored a touchdown in 12 consecutive games. He also has logged at least 15 yards in each of his last four games vs. the Chargers. (Receiving yards O/U is 4.5.)
  • In the last 10 instances that the Ravens were favored following a loss, Baltimore scored the game’s first touchdown.
  • The Chargers have lost the last nine games in which they were the underdog.
  • The Chargers have won the first half in their last six games vs. the AFC.
  • In each of the five games that directly followed a Chargers win, Quentin Johnston has scored a touchdown.
  • Zay Flowers has scored a touchdown in each of the last four instances that the Ravens were favored vs. an AFC West opponent.
  • The Chargers have won the first quarter in their last four games vs. the AFC North.
  • Lamar Jackson has at least 247 passing yards in each of his last four games vs. the AFC West. (Passing Yards O/U is 238.5.)
  • Mark Andrews has 45 or more receiving yards in each of his last four Week 12 games. (Receiving yards O/U is 32.5.)

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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.