Our computer model projects a victory for the No. 13 SMU Mustangs when they play the Virginia Cavaliers at Scott Stadium on Saturday, Nov. 23 at 12 p.m. ET –– for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.
SMU vs. Virginia Predictions
- Our prediction to win on the Moneyline in this matchup is SMU, by a final score of SMU 35, Virginia 22.
- Against the spread, we predict that SMU will cover. The spread is currently SMU -9.5.
- As for the total, it’s too close to call relative to the posted over/under of 58. Our projected total for the match is 57.4 points.
SMU vs. Virginia Odds
- Spread favorite: SMU (-9.5)
- Moneyline: SMU (-298), Virginia (+240)
- Total: 58 points
SMU Betting Trends
- The Mustangs have a 5-4-0 record against the spread this season.
- SMU is 1-4 against the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
- Mustangs games have gone over the point total on six of nine occasions (66.7%).
- SMU has won six of the seven games it was listed as the Moneyline favorite this season (85.7%).
- In games they have played as a Moneyline favorite with odds of -298 or shorter, the Mustangs have a 4-1 record (winning 80% of their games).
Virginia Betting Trends
- The Cavaliers are 6-3-1 against the spread this season.
- Virginia has a 1-0-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 9.5 points or more this season.
- Out of the Cavaliers’ 10 games with a set total, three have hit the over (30%).
- Virginia has entered the game as an underdog four times this season and won once.
- This season, the Cavaliers have been at least a +240 underdog on the Moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.
SMU Key Stats
- Total offense: 445.3 yards per game, 23rd in FBS
- Passing offense: 254.4 yards per game, 40th in FBS
- Rushing offense: 190.9 yards per game, 29th in FBS
- Total defense: 348.6 yards per game, 50th in FBS
- Passing defense: 249.6 yards per game, 109th in FBS
- Rushing defense: 99.0 yards per game, sixth in FBS
Virginia Key Stats
- Total offense: 388.4 yards per game, 62nd in FBS
- Passing offense: 246.2 yards per game, 47th in FBS
- Rushing offense: 142.2 yards per game, 87th in FBS
- Total defense: 401.0 yards per game, 100th in FBS
- Passing defense: 258.0 yards per game, 118th in FBS
- Rushing defense: 143.0 yards per game, 63rd in FBS
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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