The NFL regular season is about to turn the final corner and head for the home stretch with the traditional Thanksgiving games next week and then a push to the finish. This week, there are six teams on a bye week leaving 13 games on the schedule. With the typical three prime time matchups, 10 games are scheduled for Sunday afternoon, leaving plenty of great gridiron action as playoff races are set up to play out in the coming weeks.
Week 12 kicks off on Thursday night with a divisional matchup between the Steelers and the Browns which is expected to be played in adverse weather conditions in Cleveland. On Sunday afternoon, there are six more divisional games on tap, including the NFC West-leading Cardinals returning from their bye week to visit the Seahawks and the Titans taking their shot at the AFC South-leading Texans.
Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football are both at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. The Rams host the surging Eagles on Sunday, and the next day the Chargers welcome in the Ravens in a matchup of AFC playoff contenders.
Each week, I’ll post the relevant info for the biggest matchups from DraftKings Sportsbook to help you find the stats and trends that matter. You can use these numbers to fill out your Week 12 betting card with single bets or combine them into an awesome parlay. Just a quick reminder before we begin: “SU” means “Straight Up,” while “ATS” stands for “Against the Spread.” Spreads used in records are taken from DraftKings Sportsbook at the kickoff of each game.
Make sure to check out our betting splits table as well, where you can see where the public is leaning in each matchup.
Throughout the week leading up to kickoff, DK Network will bring plenty of insight on NFL betting picks, NFL DFS contests, and more specific insights on player props, matchups, and strategies throughout the season.
Below are the betting trends for the top five matchups of Week 12:
All odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds are subject to change.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Steelers start the week in first place in the AFC North after a SU/ATS victory last week against the Ravens to improve to 8-2 SU/ATS this season. Meanwhile, the Browns returned from their bye week with a SU/ATS loss against the Saints to fall to 2-8 SU/3-7 ATS.
The Steelers are 5-0 SU/ATS in their last five games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games. They are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. the Browns and 51-12-1 SU in their last 64 head-to-head meetings. Pittsburgh is also 8-1 SU/ATS in its last nine divisional games and 13-5 SU/ATS in their last 18 road divisional contests. However, they are only 2-11 SU in their last 13 road games on Thursday.
The Browns are just 2-10 SU/3-9 ATS in their last 12 games, but they are 6-0 SU in their last six Thursday games and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 Thursday Night Football matchups.
The under is 6-3 in the Browns’ last nine games, but the over is 4-1 in the Steelers’ last five. The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these teams in Cleveland and 5-1-1 in the Browns’ last seven games as home underdogs.
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
This NFC North divisional game in Chicago is another important divisional contest this week. The Vikings are 8-2 SU/7-3 ATS after getting a SU/ATS win over the Titans last week, while the Bears came so close to knocking off the Packers but fell short SU while covering to win ATS. Chicago is 4-6 SU/6-4 ATS on the season, and this is the first of two meetings between these teams in the next four weeks, with the other scheduled as part of a Monday Night Football doubleheader in Week 15.
The Vikings are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games vs. the Bears and 5-1 SU in their last six head-to-head matchups. They have also won SU in four of their last five games on the road, but they are only 1-5 ATS in their last six divisional games.
For the home team, the Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games dating back to last season. They are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. the NFC. On the other hand, they are only 2-14 SU in their last 16 divisional games.
The under is 4-2 in the last six games between these division rivals and 6-1 in the Bears’ last seven games in November. The under is also 7-3 in the Vikings’ last 10 games and 5-0 in the last five meetings between these teams in Chicago.
San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The 49ers lost at home to the Seahawks last week after allowing a late touchdown run. They are 5-5 SU/4-6 ATS on the season coming into this matchup with the Packers, who are 7-3 SU/4-5-1 ATS after beating the Bears last week but failing to cover.
San Francisco is just 3-9 SU in its last 12 trips to Green Bay and 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games vs. the NFC. The 49ers are 10-1 SU in their last 11 November games, though, and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as underdog. They are also 7-3 SU in their last 10 road games and 8-4 SU in their last 12 vs. the Packers.
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last six games and 7-3 SU in its last 10 home games. The Packers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. the NFC West and 11-2 SU in their last 13 games played on a Sunday.
The over is 10-5 in the last 15 games between these two teams, but the under is 4-2 in the Packers’ last six games and also 4-2 in the 49ers’ last six.
Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Eagles have come out of their bye week red hot, going 6-0 SU/4-2 ATS to take the top spot in the NFC East. They beat the Commanders last Thursday, so they should be well-rested and ready to roll vs. the Rams, who held on to beat the Patriots last week and improve to 5-5 SU/4-6 ATS.
The Eagles are 7-1 SU/ATS in their last eight games vs. the Rams and have won five in a row SU. They have also won eight in a row SU in November but are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. the NFC West.
After going on the road to New England, the Rams come home, where they are 7-2 SU in their last nine games. They are only 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. the NFC East and 3-10 SU in their last 13 as the underdog.
The under is 11-3 in the Eagles’ last 14 road games and 8-4 in their last 12 overall. The under is also 4-2 in the Rams’ last six overall.
Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Chargers
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
This week finishes with a great matchup between the Ravens and the Chargers. Baltimore lost a tough divisional contest to the Steelers last week to fall to 7-4 SU/5-5-1 ATS on the season. The Chargers got a nice win on Sunday Night Football by beating the Bengals to improve to 7-3 SU/ATS. Both teams would be AFC Wild Card teams if the playoffs started this week.
The Ravens are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 Monday Night Football road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five road games vs. the Chargers. Despite their loss last week, they’re 7-2 SU in their last nine games overall and are also 4-1 SU in their last five games in November.
The Chargers are just 1-15 SU in their last 16 games as the underdog and have lost 10 in a row SU in that situation. However, they are 5-1 SU/ATS in their last six games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games.
The under is 9-3 in the Chargers’ last 12 games and 6-0 in their last six games played on a Monday. However, the over is 6-1 in the Ravens’ last seven games and 4-1 in their last five road contests.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is z.thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
