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Luka Doncic best prop bets for Mavericks vs. Spurs

Luka Doncic best prop bets for Mavericks vs. Spurs

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By: Grant Afseth

The Mavericks might have a 5-7 record through 12 games, but Luka Doncic has continued to thrive. He’s averaged 29.3 points, 8.0 rebounds and 8.0 assists, remaining a prominent player to monitor for betting options.

Against the Spurs, whom he lit up for 29 points and 10 assists earlier this season, Doncic will look to have another dynamic performance during Saturday’s matchup. He’s coming off a performance with 37 points, seven rebounds and nine assists in his previous performance in Utah.

Here are some of the best Doncic prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Saturday’s matchup:

Best Luka Doncic Prop Bets

Points 29.5 (Over -120 / Under -110): Doncic has scored 29+ points in seven of his 12 games this season. While the Spurs’ defense is improving, they haven’t shown they can consistently contain elite scorers. With Doncic scoring 37 points in his last game and San Antonio’s struggles guarding perimeter playmakers, the Over is an attractive option here.

Rebounds 8.5 (Over -125 / Under -105): Doncic has recorded at least nine rebounds in just two of 12 games this season. While he’s capable of a strong effort on the glass, the Spurs’ size with Victor Wembanyama could make this a tough ask. The Under feels like the safer bet, given his recent rebounding trends. However, Wembanyama is questionable to play, which changes this betting outlook if he’s ruled out.

Assists 8.5 (Over -130 / Under +100): Doncic has exceeded this mark in four of 12 games and averaged 8.8 assists over his last five contests. The Over is slightly favored for those expecting a high-volume passing performance. Considering the Spurs tend to deploy drop coverage against Doncic, it creates some interior passing chances for him to exploit.

Threes 3.5 (Over +126 / Under -162): Doncic has hit four or more threes in six of 12 games this season, averaging 3.3 triples per game. At +126, the Over offers good value for bettors anticipating an effective shooting night after having Friday off to rest. If the Spurs pack the paint to limit his drives, Doncic could be forced to hoist more from deep.

Points + Rebounds + Assists 47.5 (Over -110 / Under -120): Doncic’s ability to impact every facet of the game makes this combined line intriguing. He’s surpassed this number in several recent games, but with his rebounding slightly down, it could come down to his scoring and assists. The Over is a balanced play in what could be a high-scoring affair.

Triple-Double (+380): Doncic has been close to triple-doubles multiple times this season but has yet to record one. His rebounding numbers have limited him, but so have some uncharacteristically low assist nights when teammates struggle to make shots. At +380, this bet has decent value if you believe he gets it done in this game.

Game Leader Points (-175): As the Mavericks’ go-to scorer, Doncic is the most likely player to lead the game in points, especially with the Spurs relying heavily on young contributors. The odds reflect a strong likelihood of this outcome.

Most Threes (+320): Doncic’s shooting has been a significant weapon this season. While he’ll face competition from perimeter shooters like Klay Thompson, Kyrie Irving and Stephon Castle, his ability to knock down threes in volume makes this a viable play.

Most Rebounds (+255): This prop offers value if Doncic crashes the glass more aggressively. However, this could be a long shot, with Wembanyama and others likely dominating the boards.

Most Assists (+100): Doncic’s playmaking puts him in a prime position to lead in assists. At +100, this prop offers solid value, but Chris Paul could provide competition.


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is grant-afseth) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is grant-afseth) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.