We’ve already reached Week 11 of the NFL season, which is highlighted by some key divisional matchups as playoff races start to take shape heading into the final stretch of the season. For the second straight week, there are 14 games on the schedule with four teams on a bye week. The action kicks off on Thursday with a very important NFC East matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Philadelphia Eagles, with the winner emerging as the division leader.
On Sunday afternoon, there are eight early games, followed by three matchups in the later window. The Ravens and Steelers meet in Pittsburgh, and the Packers visit the Bears in Chicago in two of the divisional contests. In the later window, the Seahawks and 49ers clash in the NFC West and the Falcons fly to the Mile High City to face the Broncos. The spotlight game, though, will be the undefeated Chiefs heading to Buffalo to take on the Bills in an epic AFC matchup. After that huge game, the focus will shift to the Bengals-Chargers game which was flexed into the Sunday Night Football spot. The final game of the week is a Lone Star State showdown as the reeling Cowboys host the Texans.
Each week, I’ll post the relevant info for the biggest matchups from DraftKings Sportsbook to help you find the stats and trends that matter. You can use these numbers to fill out your Week 11 betting card with single bets or combine them into an awesome parlay. Just a quick reminder before we begin: “SU” means “Straight Up,” while “ATS” stands for “Against the Spread.” Spreads used in records are taken from DraftKings Sportsbook at the kickoff of each game.
Make sure to check out our betting splits table as well, where you can see where the public is leaning in each matchup.
Throughout the week leading up to kickoff, DK Network will bring plenty of insight on NFL betting picks, NFL DFS contests, and more specific insights on player props, matchups, and strategies throughout the season.
Below are the betting trends for the top five matchups of Week 10:
All odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds are subject to change.
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Eagles have a half-game lead over the Commanders coming into their Thursday Night Football showdown. Philly has won five straight since the bye week, going 3-2 ATS. The Commanders had won seven of eight before losing SU/ATS last week to the Steelers. They’ll look to bounce back and move into first place with a win on Thursday.
The Commanders are 7-2 SU/7-1-1 ATS in their nine games since Week 1, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. the NFC. However, they are only 2-6 SU in their last eight divisional games and 2-9 SU in their last 11 as the underdog.
The Eagles are 8-1 SU in their last nine Thursday games and 11-3 SU in their last 14 games against the Commanders. They have also gone 8-2 SU in their last 10 divisional games. The Eagles have not been nearly as dominant, though, against the spread. They are only 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
The over is 7-3 in the last 10 matchups in this series and 4-1 in their last five meetings in Philadelphia. The over is also 6-2 in Washington’s last eight games, 9-2 in its last 11 games as the underdog, and 6-0 in its last six games on the road.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Steelers beat the Commanders SU/ATS last week to improve to 7-2 SU/ATS. They’ll host their division-rival Ravens, who are also coming off a win last Thursday against the Bengals, although they failed to cover and are now 7-3 SU/5-4-1 ATS.
The Ravens are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games and 7-1 SU in their last eight overall. They are only 2-5 ATS in their last seven division games, but are 4-2 SU in their last six vs. the AFC.
For the home team, the Steelers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 7-1 SU in their last eight games against the Ravens. The Steelers have gone an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last eight divisional games and 12-5 SU/ATS in their last 17 games as the underdog.
The over is 9-2 in the Ravens’ last 11 games and 6-0 in their last six. However, the past seven head-to-head meetings between these teams have gone under the point total.
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Chiefs narrowly stayed undefeated last week by blocking a potentially game-winning field goal by the Broncos on the final play of the game. While they are 9-0 SU, they are only 5-4 ATS. The Bills come into this huge game 8-2 SU/6-4 ATS after dispatching the Colts in Indianapolis by 10 points in Week 10.
The Chiefs’ recent trends are incredibly impressive. They are 19-3 SU in their last 22 road games and 15-0 SU/10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. They’re also 23-3 SU in their last 26 conference games and 15-3-1 ATS in their last 19 games as the underdog. They are 8-0 SU in their last eight road games and 4-1 SU in their last five trips to Buffalo.
While they aren’t undefeated, the Bills’ recent trends are also very strong. Buffalo is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in their last five games. They are 12-3 SU in their last 15 conference games and 24-5 SU in their last 29 home games.
The under is 5-2 in the Chiefs’ last seven games and 10-4 in their last 14 games in November. However, the over is 4-1 in the Bills’ last five games overall and 7-0 in their last seven home games. The over is also 4-2 in the last six games between these two teams.
Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Bengals lost to the Ravens last Thursday to slide to 4-6 SU, but they covered to improve to 6-4 ATS. The Chargers picked up a 10-point road win in Tennessee to improve to 6-3 SU/ATS and are 3-0 SU/ATS in their last three games.
Cincinnati is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 Sunday road games and is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games. The Bengals are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. They are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games against the Chargers, including 5-0 ATS in their last five head-to-head matchups. However, they are only 1-4 SU in those five meetings.
The Chargers come in on a nice roll, going 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five games. They are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games vs. the AFC North and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as the favorite.
The under is 12-2 in the Chargers’ last 14 games played on a Sunday and 12-2 in their last 14 as favorites. The under is also 19-5 in their last 24 games overall and 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these two teams. On the other hand, the over is 12-4 in the Bengals’ last 16 games.
Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
This Texas-sized Monday Night Football matchup will be the Texans’ second straight game in prime time after they lost to the Lions on Sunday Night Football last week. Houston is 6-4 SU/4-6 ATS and still in first place in the AFC South as they head to Dallas to face the Cowboys, who are 3-6 SU/2-7 ATS and have lost four straight SU/ATS.
The Texans are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games as the favorite and 4-2 ATS in their last six. They are only 2-4 ATS in their last six road games, though, and 0-5 SU in their last five games vs. the NFC East. In their last 14 Monday Night Football games, the Texans are only 4-10 ATS.
The Cowboys are 15-2 SU in their last 17 Week 11 games and 5-1 SU in their last six games played on a Monday. However, they are just 2-11 SU/ATS in their last 13 games as the underdog and have been outscored 81-15 in their past two games as home underdogs. Dallas is also only 1-7 ATS in its last eight games and 0-6 ATS in its last six home games.
The under is 4-2 in the Cowboys’ last six games and 7-2 in the Texans’ last nine games. The under is also 5-1 in the last six matchups in this series.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is z.thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
