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Luka Doncic best prop bets for Mavericks vs. Jazz

Luka Doncic best prop bets for Mavericks vs. Jazz

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By: Alex Hunter

For Thursday’s lone NBA game, the Mavericks head to Utah to face the Jazz. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Dallas is a nine-point favorite and this game’s total is set at 230.5 points.

Below, I have featured my favorite Luka Doncic prop to consider from this contest.

Best Luka Doncic Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Luka Doncic Under 8.5 rebounds (-115)

This rebounding line is too high for Doncic and attacking this under has merit Thursday. Doncic’s rebound percentage is at a career-low 11.3% this season and the Slovenian has only exceeded 8.5 rebounds in three of his 11 starts. Notably, Doncic hasn’t recorded double-digit rebounds once this season, after reaching that feat in six of his final 10 starts of last season.

The Jazz are the worst defense in the league based on efficiency, but they are allowing 5.8 rebounds per game to opposing points guards this season. Plus, P.J. Washington (knee) remains out and, while one would assume this would help Doncic’s rebounding numbers, that hasn’t been the case. The guard is averaging 7.3 rebounds per game with Washington inactive the last two seasons, which is a slight dip from his average.

With Washington out for the last four, Naji Marshall has been starting at power forward and, with the veteran on the floor this season, Doncic’s rebound rate has dropped 2.2 percentage points and he is averaging only 6.0 rebounds per 36 minutes.

While Doncic may light it up as a scorer Thursday, he should have a modest performance on the glass and stay under this 8.5-rebound line.

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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

Alex Hunter
Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.