Aaron Rodgers is the 22nd-ranked quarterback for fantasy on a per-game basis. Gross. He has not thrown for at least 300 yards in any game this season and has three games with fewer than 200 yards. GROSS.
That said, the Jets are fourth in passing rate and have one of the more highly-concentrated passing offenses. Since Davante Adams arrived in Week 7, he and Garrett Wilson garnered 72 of the 129 targets (55%).
If Adams is unable to go—oh baby. Prior to the arrival of Adams, Wilson had a 22-target game to go along with counts of 11, six, nine, eight and ten. Translation: Wilson is going to get fed. The only question is how much?
The matchup in Week 11 is a good one. Indianapolis utilizes zone defense at the highest rate in the league. In addition, the Colts defense has the eighth-lowest sack rate, and is middle-of-the-pack in quarterback pressure rate.
Rodgers has the sixth-highest Pass EPA against zone defenses while Wilson has the 24th-highest Rec EPA.
Wilson is $7,100 for DFS and has two games with at least 30 FPTS. It’s well within the range of outcomes that he posts his third of the season.
The Crown Is Yours: Sign up for DraftKings and experience the ultimate host for games and betting experiences!
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
