Last Thursday, we were treated to a Bengals and Ravens matchup. We get just as good of a matchup in Week 11, featuring the Commanders and Eagles. I’ll give you some of the bets I like for this game that you can tail along with on DraftKings Sportsbook. So, let’s get to those Commanders Eagles Week 11 bets.
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Saquon Barkley over 95.5 rushing yards -115
This is a huge spot for Barkley up against a very poor Commanders run defense. The numbers for the Commanders against the run continue to look rough and it’s going to be even worse after facing Barkley. On the year, they’ve allowed the fourth-most rushing yards, 4.8 YPC, and have allowed at least 100 yards to an opposing running back three times this season. Barkley has 570 yards after contact, which amongst qualified running backs with at least 90 attempts, ranks the fourth-best in the league. Barkley also has a league-leading 24 explosive runs under his belt. Taking him down has been a problem and will be more than usual against this generous Commanders run defense. With the Eagles continuing to run at the highest rate in the league of 55%, I think Barkley goes over his rushing yards on Thursday night.
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A.J. Brown over 82.5 receiving yards -115
The Commanders know that their secondary has been a problem. That’s why at the trade deadline, they brought Marson Lattimore on board. However, recent reports have come out saying that Lattimore may not play in this game. Because of that, Brown should feast in this matchup. The majority of snaps should be against rookie corner Mike Sainristil. Every week, I write up an article talking about CB/WR matchups you can exploit and Sainristil has been featured a few times already.
On the year, Sainristil has been targeted against 43 times allowing 29 catches for 301 yards (10.4 YPR) and three touchdowns. He’s also allowed the most yards after catch on the Commanders with 164. Despite only playing in six games, Brown leads the Eagles in receiving yards with 553 and a 15.3 aDOT. It’s hard to feel as if the Commanders will have an answer for him on Thursday.
Player Specials: Jalen Hurts/Jayden Daniels both to have 15+ yard rush +350
You can click on the title of this bet to be directed right to where this bet is on DraftKings Sportsbook. I like this one a lot as both quarterbacks could be using their legs frequently in this game. As we talked about earlier, the Commanders cannot stop the run to begin with. While they’ve only faced 27 QB rush attempts, they’ve gone for an average of 8.1 yards. They haven’t faced many mobile quarterbacks but Lamar Jackson went 11/40 and and Caleb Williams went 9/47. Hurts has surpassed a 15+ run in five of the nine games this season.
As for Daniels, he’ll need to combat a tough pass defense from the Eagles. The ground game could be an important piece of their game on Thursday if they want to keep up. While his rush attempts have been a bit more inconsistent as of late, he’s still logged a double-digit run in seven of the nine games for the Commanders this season.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests. The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups.
