The NFL regular season turns the corner and heads for home with a big week 10 this week as the second half gets underway with 14 games in Week 10. The action begins with a Thursday Night Football grudge match from the AFC North between the Bengals and the Ravens, and it will continue through the weekend with 10 games on the Sunday afternoon slate.
In addition to the usual Thursday, Sunday, and Monday night matchups, the other solo game this week is a morning matchup from Munich, Germany, where the Giants and Panthers continue the International Series. On Sunday afternoon, there are seven early games followed by just three matchups in the later window. Another important divisional matchup will take center stage at that time as the banged-up Cowboys host the Eagles. On Sunday night, the Lions visit the Texans in a huge matchup of division leaders. The week wraps up on Monday when the Rams host the Dolphins.
Each week, I’ll post the relevant info for the biggest matchups from DraftKings Sportsbook to help you find the stats and trends that matter. You can use these numbers to fill out your Week 10 betting card with single bets or combine them into an awesome parlay. Just a quick reminder before we begin: “SU” means “Straight Up,” while “ATS” stands for “Against the Spread.” Spreads used in records are taken from DraftKings Sportsbook at the kickoff of each game.
Make sure to check out our betting splits table as well, where you can see where the public is leaning in each matchup.
Throughout the week leading up to kickoff, DK Network will bring plenty of insight on NFL betting picks, NFL DFS contests, and more specific insights on player props, matchups, and strategies throughout the season.
Below are the betting trends for the top five matchups of Week 10:
All odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds are subject to change.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Ravens and Bengals played an awesome game back in Week 5, with the Ravens pulling out a 41-38 win in overtime with plenty of production for star players on both teams. Last week, both teams got comfortable SU/ATS wins to get geared up for this rematch. The Bengals are 4-5 SU/5-4 ATS after their win over the Raiders while the Ravens are 6-3 SU/5-3-1 ATS after dispatching the Broncos.
Cincinnati is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 road games and 12-5 ATS in its previous 17 games as an underdog. However, the Bengals are 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs. the Ravens and 4-9 SU in their last 13 head-to-head meetings. They’re also just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 divisional games.
The Ravens have won eight straight Thursday Night Football games at home and are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games as the favorite. They are 6-1 SU/5-1-1 ATS since starting the season 0-2 and are 14-6 SU in their last 20 home games and 5-1 SU in their last six home games against the Bengals.
The over is 8-1 in the Ravens’ nine games this season and 5-0 in their last five games. The over is also 5-0 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams and 6-2 in the Bengals’ last eight games.
San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The 49ers are coming back from their bye week and are expected to have superstar Christian McCaffrey available for the first time this season. They are 4-4 SU/4-4 ATS without him as they head to Tampa to face the 4-5 SU/5-4 ATS Bucs, who are on a short week after losing on Monday Night Football to the Chiefs.
San Francisco is 13-7 SU in their last 20 games but only 4-8 ATS in their last 12. The 49ers are 9-0 SU in their last nine games in November and 5-1 SU in their last six games vs. the NFC South.
The Bucs are just 1-4 SU in their last five games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. the AFC West. Unlike the 49ers, they have struggled in November, going 1-5 SU in their last six games played in the month, although they are 10-5 ATS over the last 15 seasons in Week 10.
The over is a combined 12-5 in the 17 games these teams have played this season. The over is 6-0 in the Bucs’ last six games, 7-3 in the 49ers’ last 10, and 6-2 in the 49ers’ last eight road games.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
This Cowboys lost SU/ATS on the road last week to the Falcons and also lost Dak Prescott (hamstring) for an extended period of time; maybe the rest of the season. They’ll look to bounce back with Cooper Rush at QB as they host the Eagles, who have gone 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS after their bye week after beating the Jaguars but failing to cover last week against Jacksonville.
The Eagles are 2-9 ATS as the favorite and are 0-6 SU/ATS in their last six games in Dallas. The Eagles are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games and 2-5 SU/ATS in their last seven games against the Cowboys. However, Philly is 5-1 SU in its last six games and 7-2 SU in its last nine division games.
The Cowboys are just 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS in their last seven games and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. However, they are 5-0 SU in their last five divisional games and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games vs. the NFC East.
The over is 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these teams and 14-3 in the Cowboys’ last 17 home games. However, the under is 10-3 in the Eagles’ last 13 road games.
Detroit Lions at Houston Texans
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Lions have looked absolutely dominant the last few weeks but will face a tough road test against the Texans.
After beating the Packers SU/ATS last week, the Lions are 7-1 SU/ATS this season. They are 6-0 SU/ATS in their last six games overall, 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games, and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. the AFC. In their last 10 games as a road favorite, the Lions are 9-1 SU/ATS, and they are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 as a favorite.
Despite their SU/ATS loss on Thursday Night Football last week, the Texans still top the AFC South at 6-3 SU on the season, even though they are 3-6 ATS. The Texans are 11-2 SU in their last 13 home games and have won six straight home games dating back to last season. However, they are only 5-17 SU in their last 22 non-conference games.
This matchup will be a very interesting contrast in styles between these teams as well. The under is 10-3 in the Texans’ last 13 home games and 7-1 in their last eight non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in the Lions’ last five games and 5-0 in their last five games vs. the AFC South.
Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Monday Night Football matchup in L.A. will showcase two teams trying to overcome early-season injuries now that their players have returned. The Dolphins got Tua Tagovailoa back two weeks ago but lost both of those games to fall to 2-6 SU/ATS this season. The Rams got their two superstar receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua back two games ago as well, but have climbed back to 4-4 SU/3-5 ATS after winning SU/ATS each of the last two weeks.
Miami is just 1-14 SU/5-10 ATS in its last 15 games as the underdog but 11-1 SU in its last 12 games against the Rams. The Dolphins are also 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in November but only 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games played on Monday.
The Rams are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games as the favorite and 7-1 SU in their last eight home games. They are also 4-2 SU over their last six games.
The under is 4-1 in the last five games between these teams and is 7-3 in the Dolphins’ last 10 games. The Under is also 8-1 in the Rams’ last nine games vs. the AFC East and 10-5 in the Rams last 15 vs. the AFC.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is z.thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
