We kick off Week 10 with an absolute banger of a game featuring the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens. Let’s get into some of the bets I’ll be taking on DraftKings Sportsbook that you can tail.
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Joe Burrow over 268.5 passing yards -120
The Ravens have been torched by opposing quarterbacks this season. They’ve allowed the most passing yards in the league with a total of 2716, which is an average of 301.7 per game. During their first matchup in Week 5, Burrow threw for a season-high 392 passing yards and completed 30 of his 39 attempts. Burrow averaged 10.1 yards per attempt and his aDOT was at 8.5. The Ravens did attempt to address this issue at the trade deadline by acquiring CB Tre’Davious White from the Rams. While it’s not the pass rusher they desperately need, a different body in the secondary could help. To be fair, White hasn’t been great when he’s been healthy, allowing nine catches on 13 targets for an average of 16.8 YPR and four touchdowns allowed in four games.
Even with the status of Tee Higgins up in the air, I still think Burrow goes over this number. Ja’Marr Chase will be in a great matchup regardless of where he lines up on the field. He made 10 catches on 12 targets for 96 yards and two touchdowns in the prior matchup. Mike Gesicki would also continue to thrive if Higgins were to sit. The Ravens have allowed the third most receiving yards to opposing tight ends with an average of 68 per game.
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Zay Flowers longest reception over 23.5 yards -105
This is a total that Flowers has gone over in five of the nine games played this season. One of those games was in the prior matchup against the Bengals, where he made a 26-yard grab. Flowers has a team leading 12 targets of at least 20 yards and has an aDOT of 26 on those targets. In their Week 5 matchup, six of Flowers’ 11 targets were between 10-19 yards with an aDOT of 14.8. In a game where we’re expecting a lot of offense, I like him to once again go over this 23.5 yard total on his longest reception.
Derrick Henry alternate rushing yards 100+ +105
The Ravens can’t stop the air attack and the Bengals run defense is up for debate. The defensive weakness on both sides really plays well into the others strength. The Bengals haven’t faced a lot of teams that deploy the run game well. But, when they have, it’s been an issue. The Ravens had a total of 175 rushing yards in Week 5 while the Eagles in Week 8 went for 161. Henry was just under this mark in Week 5 going for 92 yards on 15 attempts, which is a massive 6.1 YPC. I think when the Bengals have been tested on the ground, their weakness at stopping the run has shown. With Henry averaging 3.61 yards after contact, he should be in for another huge day on the ground.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests. The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups.
