The Dallas Mavericks are looking to defend their Western Conference title this year and will continue their journey when facing the Orlando Magic tonight. The Mavericks are off to a 3-2 start to the season, headlined by the MVP-level play from Luka Doncic while the Magic enter with a 3-3 record.
After getting off to an All-NBA quality start to the season, Paolo Banchero suffered a torn oblique which will keep him sidelined indefinitely. Goga Bitadze and Wendell Carter Jr are each listed as questionable, with Carter having missed the previous game with right knee tendinitis. The Mavericks will be without Maxi Kleber due to a hamstring injury and will continue to be without Dante Exum as he recovers from his wrist surgery.
The Mavericks enter this game as 6.5-point favorites over the Magic on DraftKings Sportsbook. Orlando are +210 underdogs on the moneyline with the game total set at 220.5 points.
Here are the best Luka Doncic prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook:
Luka Doncic Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook has set Luka Doncic’s prop lines across points (28.5), rebounds (9.5), assists (8.5), and made three-pointers (2.5). Here are the top betting options to consider:
Over 28.5 Points (-115): The point line for Luka Doncic is set at 28.5 points with the odds set at -115 for both the over and under. Through the opening five games, he has averaged 27.2 points per game and has cleared the 28.5-point margin in just two of the five games thus far. Doncic led the NFL in scoring last year at 33.9 points per game and has averaged 28.7 points per game throughout his career.
Orlando has had some success defensively this year holding opponents to 109.8 points per game which ranks ninth in the league. However, the biggest shortcoming for Doncic has been his efficiency. So far this season he is shooting just 38.7% from the field and 29.2% from beyond the three-point arc which are each well below his career averages of 46.9% from the field and 34.7% from beyond the arc. Expect these shooting numbers to begin creeping up and for Doncic to be in attack mode after being off since Thursday. This is my favorite Doncic prop for this matchup.
Over 9.5 Rebounds (+115): Luka Doncic’s rebounding prop is set at 9.5 with the under favored at -148 odds and the over set at +115. So far this season he has averaged 8.4 rebounds per game and has reached double-digit rebounds twice.
Orlando has been effective on the boards this year, limiting opponents to the third-fewest offensive rebounds per game and the second-worst offensive rebounding rate. Doncic leads the Mavericks in rebounding so will need to be at the heart of this if they are to have success, but the 9.5 line feels steep for this matchup.
Over 8.5 Assists (-105) The assist line for Luka Doncic is set at 8.5 for this game with the odds for the over set at -105 and the under favored at -125. Doncic has averaged just 6.0 assists per game so far this year and has yet to tally over 8.5 assists per game this season. He is currently tied with his career-low in assists from his rookie season.
Expect Doncic’s numbers to grow as the season progresses and for him to return to his elite level as a playmaker. There were some notable roster changes this offseason, with Klay Thompson and Naji Marshall being the most noteworthy names. However, this has been more about his teammates failing to hit shots and the Mavericks still settling in for the season. Don’t be surprised if this is the game he breaks out, but it is fair to stay away until this changes.
Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+100): The three-point line for Luka Doncic is set at 2.5 with the over heavily favored at -162 odds. You also can bet on the alternate of 4+ made three-pointers at +140 odds. Doncic is attempting 9.6 three-point attempts per game thus far, which ranks 10th in the NBA. However, he is connecting at just a 29.2% rate and has been held to one made three-pointer in two of the five games.
The breakout of Doncic is due soon as he is too talented of a shooter for these struggles to continue. He has cleared the over 2.5 made three-pointers in three of the five games even amid the struggles and should be expected to do the same tonight.
Futures Outlook: Luka Doncic has been in the MVP mix for the past few seasons and currently holds the second-best odds to take home the prestigious award at +320 odds. He also holds +1200 odds of winning Finals MVP if you believe in Dallas to successfully defend their Western Conference Title and get back to the NBA Finals this year.
Dallas holds +500 odds of winning the Western Conference and +1000 odds of winning the NBA Finals, the fourth-best odds in the league.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, lines and odds subject to change.
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