The Bills host the Dolphins on Sunday in an AFC East divisional battle. Here are some Josh Allen prop bets to consider at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Josh Allen prop bets
Here are Allen’s current prop bet odds at DraftKings Sportsbook: o/u 242.5 passing yards, o/u 1.5 passing touchdowns and o/u 29.5 rushing yards. Allen is +115 to score a touchdown, +650 to score 2+ touchdowns and +700 to score the first touchdown of the game.
Allen is having an MVP-level season for the Bills and has his team in first place in the AFC East by multiple games already. The Bills have now won three straight games and they have dominated their past two opponents. Buffalo already faced Miami once this season, winning 31-10. However, Allen didn’t have a big game statistically against the Dolphins. In fact, in terms of yardage, it was his second-worst passing performance of the season and his second-worst rushing performance of the season.
There is a lot of familiarity between these two teams since they play each other twice a year. The Dolphins know what Allen wants to do but stopping it is a whole other thing. Bills offensive coordinator Joe Brady should come up with some unique ways to beat the Dolphins to give them different looks than last time. That includes Allen using his legs and other creative formations. The Bills are a much better team than the Dolphins, so they should have no issue taking an early lead on Sunday. From there, Buffalo can run out the clock and control the line of scrimmage in the second half.
Due to all these factors, I am betting Allen to go under 32.5 passing attempts in this game. Allen has cleared that number in the last two games but prior to that, he didn’t have more than 30 passing attempts in his first six games of the season. That includes the first matchup against Miami where Allen threw only 19 passes, his lowest amount of the season. There is some recency bias baked into this number and Allen should regress to the norm in this matchup.
Pick: Josh Allen u32.5 Passing Attempts (-125)
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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