The Kansas City Chiefs are the only undefeated team remaining in the NFL and will be looking to move to 8-0 against the Buccaneers on Monday Night Football. They face a injury-riddled Buccaneers team on a two-game skid.
Despite the injuries to major offensive players, Baker Mayfield has remained a premier quarterback. Here are some of the best bets to tail for Mayfield for Week 9’s Monday Night Football matchup.
Best Baker Mayfield prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
Baker Mayfield over 34.5 pass attempts (-125)
Mayfield’s career had a resurgence in 2023 during his first season with the Buccaneers, and he’s seemingly improved thus far in 2024. Having Chris Godwin and Mike Evans on the perimeter has certainly helped the former No. 1 pick, but now he’s without those two for the immediate future.
Nonetheless, Mayfield has been excellent in the pocket over the past two weeks without his star wideouts. He’s thrown the ball for over 45 times in each game, while also reaching 330 yards in each. In addition to this trend, Bucky Irving is listed as questionable. It could lead to Mayfield taking on an even greater load offensively.
As for the matchup, the Chiefs have a stout run defense. They ranked as the second best team in terms of rushing yards allowed this season. Kansas City is weaker when defending the aerial attack, which Tampa Bay specializes in. The Chiefs have the 17th-ranked passing defense in terms of yards allowed and 21st in terms of attempts.
That’s a green light for Mayfield, who operates the seventh-best offense for pass attempts and second-best for passing yards. Expect Mayfield to clear his line of 34.5 pass attempts.
Baker Mayfield 250+ passing yards (+125)
Despite the Buccaneers being without Evans and Godwin, the offense is still structured around Mayfield ability to sling the ball down field. The proof is over the past two weeks: Mayfield has attempted a total of 95 passes and 700 yards. It’s also three straight and four of the last five weeks in which Mayfield has surpassed the 300-yard mark.
Mayfield’s base line of 236.5 passing yards is fairly low, so feel free to bump it up to 250+ passing yards for a juicier profit. The Chiefs passing defense is the team’s weak point, ranking as the 17th best in terms of yards allowed. Furthermore, their run defense is the second-best in terms of yards allowed, so expect the Buccaneers to continue their aerial attack in Week 9.
Mayfield also has props available for 275+ (+240) and 300+ (+475) passing yards. Both are realistic options if you’re considering placing a ladder bet for Mayfield’s passing yards. He’s surpassed 275 yards in five of his eight games this season.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is osullivanb255) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
