Unabated is an industry leader in real-time betting data and profitable sports betting tools. For the NBA season, they created the industry’s first-ever Conditional Projections. Every day, the Unabated NBA team creates projection sets for different scenarios based upon which key players are Questionable on the injury report with massive potential ramifications on the slate.
If you’ve played an NBA slate as a DFS player or prop bettor, you know the deal with the NBA: The injuries are everything. A minute here or there can be the difference between good chalk and bad chalk, quality value or lineup-ruining value, or an over/under winning or losing by the hook.
Every day we have dozens of players marked as Questionable up until game time with their statuses often impacting the edges or microedges you can have. A couple of times each week here on DraftKings Network, I’ll bring you the latest news and information on a few of the players who seem most noteworthy in Unabated’s Conditional Projections.
The Unabated NBA team, led by industry veteran Justin Phan, currently projects Suns star Bradley Beal to have a 50% chance to play today. Beal is Questionable with an elbow injury despite playing 35 minutes last game, a game in which he was also Questionable with elbow issues.
Beal has contributed in multiple categories with a 20% usage rate and 20% assist rate to start the year along with 36.3 minutes per game. If Beal were in, Unabated NBA Conditional Projections would project him for 17.4 points, 4.3 rebounds, and four assists.
If Beal were to miss this game, his available minutes would create additional opportunities on the wing for players like Grayson Allen in particular. Meanwhile, the other Suns with key betting markets would be affected in the following ways:
- Kevin Durant projected for 26.8 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 3.3 assists (with Beal, Durant projects for 25.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, 3.1 assists)
- Devin Booker projected for 25.6 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 5.1 assists (with Beal, Booker projects for 23.7 points, 3.7 rebounds, 4.8 assists)
These fractional differences could be key for markets tonight — and would represent massive potential edges on markets like Devin Booker’s 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists line as well as Kevin Durant’s 35.5 PRAs line.
See all of the Conditional Projections for tonight’s slate along with live news updates, prop simulation tools, and premium content on Unabated NBA. Start now with promo code SPLASH to get $30 off as a special thank you to DraftKings Network readers.
