After losing to the Warriors on Tuesday, the Pelicans have a rematch tonight. This time, they will be without CJ McCollum (adductor) and Herb Jones (shoulder). Additionally, Trey Murphy III (hamstring) remains sidelined.
In this situation, Zion Wiliamson ($8,500) and Brandon Ingram ($8,100) should handle massive roles. With McCollum, Jones and Murphy off the court the last two seasons, Williamson has led New Orleans with a 34.6% usage rate, which is a 4.6 percentage point increase from his average. As for Ingram, he ranks second only to Williamson in usage for this situation at 31.2%, which is a 3.3 percentage point lift from his average.
On a per 36-minute basis, Williamson and Ingram are scoring 29.1 and 26.8 points, respectively, with McCollum, Jones and Murphy off the floor over the last two seasons.
Golden State isn’t an easy matchup, with their defense ranking second in efficiency, but even with McCollum and Jones active last night, Williamson and Ingram finished with 31 and 30 points each.
On the DraftKings Sportsbook, Williamson’s point prop is set at 25.5 points, with the over at -110 odds. Ingram’s points O/U is set at 21.5, with -120 odds for the over. With a lower points line in a key role, this makes Ingram the better over to attack. When playing with zero days’ rest last season, Ingram was even better than usual with 24.1 PPG, which was a 3.3-point increase from his season average. Williamson, on the other hand, saw a slight drop from 22.9 PPG to 22.3 PPG.
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