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New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians
Yankees ML (-122)
It’s hard to not like the Yankees right now. Everything is clicking at the right time and they could easily have a 3-0 series lead after tonight. Clarke Schmidt is taking the mound for the Yanks and making his second playoff start. He allowed just two runs against the Royals through 4.2 innings with four strikeouts. Schmidt doesn’t go deep into games, he’s only thrown a max of 5.2 innings since returning in September. But, the Yankees bullpen has been stellar to this point. Throughout these playoffs, the bullpen has allowed just two earned runs through 23.1 innings. If Schmidt can give the Yankees a solid five innings, it’s going to be hard for the Guardians to break through these relievers.
Matt Boyd has been great for the Guardians. Since joining the team in August, he hasn’t allowed more than three runs in a start. Those three runs though, came against the Yankees. This lineup is a very good against the fastball and that’s what Boyd is throwing over 40% of the time. Tonight’s expected lineup has a combined .372 wOBA with a .205 ISO against that pitch from lefties. It’s been Boyd’s worst pitch to this point, has opposing hitters have tagged it for a .389 wOBA and a .190 ISO. I think this will be too much for the Guardians to overcome tonight, making this one of my MLB best bets for tonight.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
