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Let’s get into Week 6 picks worth considering from Sunday’s NFL main slate, which features six games.
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Washington Commanders at Baltimore Ravens
Jayden Daniels
Passing yards: 225.5
This is a number Daniels has surpassed in the four games that followed his NFL debut. He’s coming off his least efficient showing, only completing 14 of 25 passes vs. Cleveland. But, he’ll face a Ravens defense that allowed Joe Burrow and Gardner Minshew II to post their most efficient games of the season. Patrick Mahomes also nearly did the same vs. Baltimore. And while Dak Prescott wasn’t able to be as efficient Burrow, Minshew and Mahomes vs. Ravens, he did pass for a season-high 379 yards when hosting Baltimore.
The pick: MORE
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
Chris Godwin
Receiving yards: 62.5
Receivers have been running wild against the Saints.
CeeDee Lamb had 90 yards on four catches. DeVonta Smith logged 79 on seven catches. Ray-Ray McCloud III only had 52 yards, but he did log six receptions. Then, most recently, JuJu Smith-Schuster went for 130 yards on seven catches.
This is a number Godwin has exceeded in all but one game. Combine that with the defense he’s facing in Week 6, and the pick is clear.
The pick: MORE
Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers
James Conner
Rushing Yards: 70.5
The weather isn’t looking particularly good in Green Bay on Sunday. That should lead to more opportunities for Conner against a Packers defense that’s allowed four of the five lead running backs they’ve seen this season to log 90-plus yards.
For Conner, this is a number he’s surpassed in three of five. While his most efficient games have come at home in prime conditions, his volume should increase due to the inclement weather. And even away from Arizona, he’s still averaged 3.89 yards per carry across his 35 attempts.
The pick: MORE
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts
Tony Pollard
Rushing Yards: 64.5
Indy has allowed three running backs to pass the century mark this season. One was Joe Mixon, who hasn’t been able to offer much else this season due to injury. However, another was Josh Jacobs, who hasn’t reached 85 yards in any other game. The third and most recent was Tank Bigsby, who only needed 13 touches to get to 101 yards.
Pollard doesn’t need to get anywhere near 100 yards, but those performances help illustrate the type of matchup he has. The Tennessee RB has surpassed 64.5 rushing yards in two of four games. In one of the games which he finished with LESS than 64.5 rushing yards, he was only short by three yards.
The pick: MORE
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts
DeAndre Hopkins
Passing Yards: 41.5
Hopkins certainly got more action in the two weeks that preceded Tennessee’s bye, and the Titans did have an extra week to work through issues. But that’s still not enough to feel good about Will Levis connecting consistently with any member of the receiving core consistently; even against a Colts defense that’s allowed the fourth-most receiving yards per game this season.
The pick: LESS
Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles
Jerry Jeudy
Receiving Yards: 42.5
Philly’s pass defense has been far from the most efficient this season. A bye week won’t necessarily allow them to fix all their issues, but it’s enough for the Eagles to figure out how to handle Cleveland.
Jeudy has had a couple games in which he’s exceeded 70 yards this season. But in his other three showings, he’s logged fewer than 30 yards. With no indication of things cleaning up at quarterback, there’s a lot of room to fade Cleveland pass-catchers.
The pick: LESS
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
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