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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Phillies Over 3.5 Runs (-115)
I like the Phillies to come out of the gate swinging against Sean Manaea and the Mets. This is a good spot for them against the sinker ball, which Manaea is throwing 69% of the time. He’s changed his arsenal dramatically from last season, ditching the four seam and slider and focusing on the sinker, and then a sweeper and changeup. Unfortunately for him, the Phillies have crushed sinkers, specifically from lefties. On the season, tonight’s expected lineup has a combined .401 wOBA with a .166 ISO and only a 13.4% K%. Those kind of numbers are on par with how Manaea has performed against this team during the regular season. He pitched 16.2 innings against them and allowed 10 runs on 14 hits, including four home runs.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
