Week 4 of the NFL season is set to conclude with another doubleheader of games on Monday Night Football. This will mark the second of four Monday Night pairings this NFL season. In the opening matchup, the Tennessee Titans will travel to face off with the Miami Dolphins, which will kick off at 7:30 p.m. EST. The second matchup will be taking place in Detroit as the Lions face off with the Seahawks.
The Dolphins enter the matchup as 2.5-point favorites over the Titans. Tennessee is a +120 underdog on the moneyline and the over/under is set at 37 for the game on DraftKings Sportsbook.
In the late game, the Lions are 4-point favorites over the Seahawks. Seattle is +164 on the moneyline and the over/under is set at 47 points.
There are far more ways to get involved in the action than just traditional betting. One of the more unique features on DraftKings this year is Pick6 Fantasy Football!
Titans vs. Dolphins & Lions vs. Seahawks Pick6 Plays
The Dolphins continue to attempt to get back on track following the concussion Tua Tagovailoa sustained. Miami will turn to a new direction at quarterback after Skylar Thompson initially stepped in following the injury. Tyler “Snoop” Huntley will step in under center this week looking to provide a spark. The Dolphins will look to climb to 2-2 on the season against a Titans team searching for their first win and with their own quarterback questions to answer.
In the later game, the Seahawks will look to remain undefeated against a 2-1 Lions team. This will be Seattle’s most difficult test thus far as it is coming off victories over the Broncos, Patriots and Dolphins. Detroit’s lone loss came in overtime against the Rams.
Having two games on the slate gives more options for Pick6 choices compared to the normal primetime slates. Here are my top six picks for the two matchups.
Jahmyr Gibbs More Than 77.5 Rush & Receiving Yards
There were high expectations for the impact of Jahmyr Gibbs when the Lions selected him with the 12th overall pick in last year’s draft. After a successful rookie year, the 22-year-old has taken a step forward in opportunity in his second season. Gibbs had more than 16 touches in just five games last season but has had at least that many in all three games this year.
Gibbs tallied 74 yards from scrimmage in the opening game, 106 yards in Week 2 and 103 yards from scrimmage last week. His ability as a pass catcher has opened the door for him to receive extra snaps as Gibbs has been on the field for more offensive snaps than David Montgomery in two of the first three games. He has big-play potential with every touch and will continue to be a weapon in this Lions offense.
Looking at the Seahawks’ defense, they are leading the NFL in yards allowed overall. However, they have not been tested in the way they will be against this Lions offense. Rhamondre Stevenson tallied 90 yards from scrimmage while Antonio Gibson recorded 103 yards when the team faced the Patriots in Week 2. Expect Detroit to have a similar style of attack and lean on its talented backs often. Gibbs will be involved in both the rushing and passing game and will be given adequate opportunity to tally more than 77.5 yards for the third consecutive week.
Tyler Lockett Less Than 43.5 Receiving Yards
For most of his career, Tyler Lockett has been a staple of the Seahawks passing game. The 32-year-old has tallied more than 1,000 receiving yards in four seasons but is beginning to take a step back in Seattle’s offense.
Through the first three weeks of the season, Lockett ranks third in targets, receptions and yards. He also has not made it into the end zone yet this year. After starting the season off with a six-reception performance for 77 yards, Lockett was held to just two catches in Week 2 and five last week.
Expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to continue cementing his place as one of the brightest young wide receivers while D.K. Metcalf builds off his Pro Bowl level of production. There is only so much room for production on the team and Lockett will continue to be used in smaller doses than the two top pass catchers. For reference, Smith-Njigba’s Pick6 number sits at 51.5 while Metcalf’s is at 65.5. There is not enough guaranteed opportunity for Lockett in the Seahawks’ offense, so look toward the other Seattle wide receivers over him in this game.
David Montgomery More Than 0.5 Rush and Receiving Touchdowns
While Jahmyr Gibbs has taken a stride forward in opportunity this year, there is room for production in the Detroit offense for both running backs. David Montgomery has had at least 15 touches and 70 yards from scrimmage in all three games this season. He has also made his way into the end zone in all three matchups. The biggest advantage he has for production is the goal-line opportunities. While Gibbs has more big-play potential, Montgomery will continue to get the first chances in the red zone.
Detroit has struggled slightly scoring the ball this year, which is a surprise for this team. The Lions rank 16th in the league in scoring with 20.7 points per game through the opening three weeks. With most of the same players on the roster, Detroit ranked fifth in scoring the past two seasons, with over 26 points per game in each. Montgomery himself tallied 13 rushing touchdowns last year.
An offensive breakout is due to occur and Montgomery will be right near the front of the line for opportunities to get in the end zone. Look for him to find the paydirt for the fourth consecutive week and tally more than 0.5 touchdowns against the Seahawks.
Calvin Ridley Less Than 3.5 Receptions
The Titans made a splash in the offseason signing Calvin Ridley to a four-year contract worth $92 million. The early results have been a bit more disappointing than Tennessee has likely hoped. Through the opening three weeks, he has tallied eight receptions for 136 yards and one touchdown. He had three receptions in his debut, four in Week 2 and recorded just one catch last week. Ridley is currently tied for third on the team in receptions.
At the root of the production concerns is the Titans’ quarterback play. Will Levis continues to play through his growing pains and has recorded just 579 passing yards, four touchdowns and five interceptions through the first three weeks. His 94 pass attempts rank 27th among quarterbacks this year.
Expect this matchup with the Dolphins to be a struggle for points on both sides. Miami ranks last in scoring on the season while Tennessee is 27th. This will be a war of attrition in which neither team has an easy time generating offense. The game scripts will limit the amount of opportunity for Ridley as well as the rest of the offense. Look for him to record less than 3.5 receptions for the third time in four games as the Titans continue searching for their identity as an offense.
De’Von Achane More Than 62.5 Rushing Yards
While the Tua Tagovailoa injury has put a halt to much of the Dolphins’ offense, De’Von Achane has continued to produce. The second-year running back has already tallied 323 yards from scrimmage through the opening three games, with 150 of these yards coming on the ground, including a 96-yard explosion in Week 2 against the Bills.
Heading into this matchup, there is doubt about the availability of Raheem Mostert, who is officially listed as questionable with a chest injury. He has missed the previous two games and reports seem to indicate this is trending toward his absence continuing. If Mostert is to miss the game or be limited, there will continue to be additional opportunities for Achane.
The change in quarterback play could provide a jolt of offense for Miami and potentially more room for him to run. Even if this is not the case, Achane should be counted on for double-digit carries and will convert this to more than 62.5 yards on the ground. After recording an impressive 7.7 yards per touch last year, the Texas A&M product is still recording 5.4 yards per opportunity this season. Achane has been one of the bright spots in the underwhelming offense and will continue this against the Titans.
Tyreek Hill More Than 51.5 Receiving Yards
Coming off a season in which he led the NFL in receiving yards with 1,799, Tyreek Hill has taken a significant step back. Hill started the season with a 130-yard receiving performance in Week 1 but has been unable to reach his typical level of performance since the injury at the quarterback position. He tallied just 24 receiving yards in Week 2 and 40 yards through the air last week.
While the quarterback issues are far from fixed, Tyler Huntley will provide a new look for the offense this week. Regardless of who is under center, expect a conscious effort to be made to put the ball in Hill’s hands. He is one of the fastest human beings on the planet and can turn a two-yard screen into an 80-yard touchdown at any given opportunity. Hill was held to less than 51.5 yards just once all of last season and five total times since he has been on the Dolphins.
Expect coach Mike McDaniel to scheme up plans to put the ball in the hands of the Dolphins’ best playmaker as often as possible. As the team continues to try to fix its offensive issues, Hill is the clear solution. He has still received 11 targets across the two games he has struggled but only managed to turn this into six receptions. Count on Miami to lean on the short passing game and for Hill to make things happen after the play. He can reach more than 51.5 receiving yards in just one play and this is too low of a number not to capitalize on.
What is DraftKings Pick6?
Pick6 is a peer-to-peer fantasy variant where you build a lineup (your “Pick Set”) of two to six players and select whether you believe each will outperform their listed stat projection. Enter your Pick Set in Pick6 contests to compete against other users. Get enough picks correct and win a share of cash prizes.
How to Play DraftKings Pick6
Create a Pick Set
Create a Pick Set by choosing 2+ players from the same sport and Pick Group (a set of picks available from a group of set competitions). For each player, simply select if you think they’ll have more or less than their listed stat projection. In each Pick Set, you cannot pick the same player twice and you must select players from at least two different teams.
Enter an Amount
Once you finalize your Pick Set, choose your entry fee amount. Your entries will be automatically distributed into available contests, subject to your confirmation.
Sweat Your Picks
When the games go live, use the My Picks tab to follow your picks in real time to track how your players are performing against their projections and how they stack up against other users.
Compete for Prizes
Make enough correct picks and win a share of the contests’ guaranteed prizes. Any prizes won will be credited to your DraftKings account after contests are finalized.
Play at DraftKings Pick6 or by downloading the DraftKings Pick6 app on Apple or Google!
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is seanbarnard) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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