Taking the under on rushing yards seems to be the name of the game when it comes to NFL Week 4 player props. Each of the top three most popular player props available on DraftKings Sportsbook in terms of handle is an under play this week.
But when you look at the most popular NFL Week 4 player props on DraftKings Sportsbook by number of bets, alternate receiving yards and the over seem to be preferred.
Here’s a look at the three most popular NFL Week 4 player props on DraftKings Sportsbook, by both total handle and number of bets:
Most Popular by Total Handle
No. 1: D’Andre Swift Rushing Yards O/U – Under 40.5
Swift has a total of 40.5 vs. the Rams after logging just 20 yards on 13 carries vs. the Colts. The Chicago RB is experiencing a massive drop off from his normal output, averaging just 1.84 yards per carry through three Weeks.
That’s all led to Swift being 3-0 to the under against his rushing yards O/U’s this season.
No. 2: Justin Fields Rushing Yards O/U – Under 39.5
Fields has gone over this number once this season, but that was the season-opener. In that game vs. Atlanta, he logged 57 yards on 14 attempts. Since then, he’s logged 14 more attempts. But the latter 14 rushes have only led to 33 yards on the ground.
Of this trio, Fields is the only one who’s gone over his rushing yards O/U this season. But, he’s still only done that once in three chances.
No. 3: Javonte Williams Rushing Yards O/U – Under 32.5
Similar to Swift, this is a number Williams has not gone over yet this season. Denver’s RB is averaging more yards per rushing attempt than Swift, but a 2.17-yard average isn’t exactly mind-blowing.
On top of that low yards-per-carry output, the ball isn’t being handed off to Williams much. He’s only logged double-digit rushes once, topping out at 11 in Week 2 vs. Denver. That’s all led to him also being 3-0 to the under against his rushing yards O/U’s this season.
Most Popular by Number of Bets
No. 1 George Pickens Receiving Yards – 50+
Pickens’ receiving yards O/U is set at 53.5, so this alternate line is only a slight adjustment. Be it 50+ or over 53.5, Pickens has gotten the job against those numbers twice in three games. Additionally, he is 2-1 against his receiving props through Pittsburgh’s first three games.
No. 2: Aaron Jones Rushing Yards O/U – Over 57.5
Looks like DraftKings Sportsbook bettors are hoping for a revenge game at Lambeau. Jones has crushed this number on two occasions, but he also 26 yards short of 58 in Week 2. But, that was also the lone week he didn’t register double-digit carries. In the other two weeks that he did, Jones went over his rushing yards prop for that week (2-1 on the season).
No. 3: Ja’Marr Chase Receiving Yards – 50+
This is a significant dip from Chase’s receiving yards O/U of 73.5. But, laying some juice for extra cushion makes sense when considering two factors. First, Chase has only gone over his receiving yards prop once this season. Second, Cincy’s top WR has logged 50+ yards in two of three games.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
