Week 4 is the last week that all 32 NFL teams will be in action for a month. Teams take their bye weeks from Week 5 to Week 14, with the exception of Week 8. The schedule is similar in format to last week’s, with a Thursday Night Football game, Sunday Night Football game and a doubleheader scheduled for Monday. On Sunday afternoon, there are 12 games on the main DFS slate on DraftKings. Throughout the schedule, there are great matchups with exciting storylines.
Each week, I’ll post the relevant info for the biggest matchups from DraftKings Sportsbook to help you find the stats and trends that matter. You can use these numbers to fill out your Week 4 betting card with single bets or combine them into an awesome parlay. Just a quick reminder before we begin: “SU” means “Straight Up,” while “ATS” stands for “Against the Spread.” Spreads used in records are taken from DraftKings Sportsbook at the kickoff of each game.
Make sure to check throughout the DK Network for more insight on NFL betting picks, NFL DFS contests and more specific insights on player props, matchups and strategies throughout the upcoming season.
Below are the betting trends for the top five matchups of Week 4:
All odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds are subject to change.
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The NFC East steps onto center stage Thursday night as the Cowboys visit the Giants. Both teams are 1-2 SU/ATS, but the Giants are coming off a big road win in Cleveland while the Cowboys have dropped back-to-back home games to the Saints and Ravens.
The Cowboys are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in their last six head-to-head matchups with the Giants. They’re also 7-2 SU in their last nine games vs. the NFC and 15-3 SU in their last 18 divisional matchups. Dallas has won each of its last five Thursday night matchups SU and enters this game 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games as road favorites.
While the Giants have not had much success against the Cowboys lately, they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall. They are 4-12-1 SU in their last 17 divisional matchups and 0-8 SU in their last eight games played on Thursday.
The under is 22-8 in New York’s last 30 home games, 16-6 in its last 22 games as the underdog and 3-0 this season. On the other hand, the over is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ last six games and 3-0 in their three games this season.
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
In another huge divisional matchup, the undefeated Vikings roll into Green Bay to take on the Packers. Green Bay has gone 2-0 SU/ATS without QB Jordan Love (knee), who could return for this game — or Malik Willis could get another start. On the other side, Sam Darnold has been excellent so far this season, leading the Vikings to a 3-0 SU/ATS start after last week’s convincing win over the previously undefeated Texans.
The Vikings are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine Sunday road games and 8-4 SU in their last 12 against the NFC. However, they are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 divisional games and 5-15 SU in their last 20 games as road underdogs.
The Packers are 6-2 SU in their last eight games, 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. While the series against the Vikings has been fairly even lately, the Packers are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games against Minnesota at Lambeau Field. The Packers have also been very good at home, going 18-7 ATS in their last 25 Sunday home games.
The over is 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings between these teams, but the under is 12-6 in the Vikings’ last 18 games and the first-half under is 15-5 in their last 20 games.
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Chargers were undefeated before losing last week to the Steelers in Pittsburgh. The status of QB Justin Herbert (ankle) is still uncertain for this contest after he aggravated his high ankle sprain in that defeat. The Chargers are now one game behind the Chiefs, who have escaped three straight one-possession games, going 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS.
The Chiefs have won nine consecutive games SU and are 8-1 ATS during that run. They are also 17-3 SU in their last 20 against the Chargers, 15-2 SU in their last 17 divisional games and 18-4 SU in their last 22 road games. They have won each of their last nine road games vs. the Chargers.
The Chargers are only 3-17 SU in their last 20 games as home underdogs and 1-14 SU in their last 15 games as underdogs. They are also just 2-8 SU/ATS in their last 10 seasons in the week preceding their bye week and 3-9 SU in their last 12 games overall.
The under is 13-1 in the Chargers’ last 14 Sunday games and 15-3 in their last 18 overall. While the over is 4-2 in the Chiefs’ last six games overall, the under is 6-1 in their last seven divisional matchups.
Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The Bills and Josh Allen are in prime time for the third straight week. After starting 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS, they’ll visit the Ravens, who are coming off their first win of the season. They beat the Cowboys on the road and will look to level their record in what should be a great Sunday night showdown.
The Bills are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games and 4-1 SU in their last five on the road. They have gone over their team total in each of their three wins to start the year and are 9-2 SU/8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in September.
After getting their first win of the season, the Ravens are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games. They are also 12-6 SU in their last 18 games at home and 5-1 SU in their last six home games vs. the Bills. Even though they are only 2-4 ATS in their last six contests overall, they are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games against opponents from the AFC East.
The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams and 11-2 in the last 13 matchups between Buffalo and a team from the AFC North. The under is also 13-4 in the Bills’ last 17 road games but only 3-10 in their last 13 games as the underdog.
Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions
Relevant Records
Betting Trends
The final matchup of the week is an NFC contest between Detroit and the undefeated Seahawks. The Lions bounced back from a Week 2 loss to Tampa Bay by winning SU/ATS last week in Arizona. Despite being 3-0 SU, Seattle is only 1-1-1 ATS.
The Seahawks have enjoyed success in their recent matchups with the Lions, going 9-2 SU in their last 11 head-to-head meetings. In the last six meetings with Detroit, Seattle is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS. The Seahawks are also 18-4 SU in their last 22 games played on Monday.
On the other side of this matchup, the Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 5-1 SU in their last six home games. They have won 15 of their last 18 games as the favorite and are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games vs. the NFC.
The under is 4-1 in the Lions’ last five games as favorite and 4-2 in their last six games overall. The under is also 7-2 in the Seahawks’ last nine road games.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is z.thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
