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NFL Week 4 Start or Sit: Braelon Allen

NFL Week 4 Start or Sit: Braelon Allen

Updated:

By: Alex Hunter

While Breece Hall ($7,800) has been great for the Jets and a contender for OPOY — he carries the fourth-best odds for the award on the DraftKings Sportsbook at +1400 — Allen ($5,400) has also been terrific for this New York backfield. After seeing limited snaps in Week 1, the fourth-round pick out of Wisconsin has produced at least 56 total yards in back-to-back games and he has found pay dirt twice. During this two-week span, Allen has seen 9.0 carries per game — which is 35.3% of the Jets’ running back carries — while logging 33.1% of the snaps. As a receiver, the rookie has commanded a target on an elite 35% of his routes, while running a route on 27% of the Jets’ drop backs.

Allen has produced 14.7 FPTS per game the last two weeks and, for the season, he impressively ranks third among all skill players in FPTS per snap (0.62). Allen’s sensational efficiency has seemingly earned him double-digit touches every week going forward and he has proved that he can be a viable flex option with those opportunities.

Week 4 sets up well for Allen, with the Jets hosting the 1-2 Broncos, who are the 11th-worst graded defense on PFF this season. For this contest, New York is a 7.5-point home favorite over Denver and the Jets are a -105 favorite to score over 23.5 points on the DraftKings Sportsbook. Allen saw 14 touches in last week’s 24-3 blowout win over the Patriots and he should see a similar workload vs. the Broncos. The rookie should exceed double-digit fantasy points in this situation and is worth starting in 12-team and deeper formats this week.

Start or Sit Braelon Allen? Start.


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.