Here at DKN, we’re not just focused on the DFS and the season-long fantasy implications of a given NFL week. We’re also keeping a close eye on how performances each week affect the market for futures bets at DraftKings Sportsbook.
To wit, I’m going to be tracking all the shifts in the Rookie of the Year odds after every regular season week. I’ll give you insights as to why the odds moved, and how I might bet them over at DraftKings Sportsbook.
NFL Rookie of the Year Odds for Week 4 on DraftKings Sportsbook
Jayden Daniels, QB, Washington Commanders (+150)
How about a near-perfect road win on Monday Night Football as heavy underdogs to catapult Jayden Daniels into the odds favorite to take home this hardware?
We sort of knew whichever quarterback broke out consistently would eventually rank atop the best bets for this award. If you’re a believer, like I am, that Jayden Daniels just hard-launched his C.J.-Stroud-esque rookie campaign, I’m okay with this value. But I’d go heavy.
Malik Nabers, WR, New York Giants (+250)
Well, sure—any sort of Sunday spectacle that enters your name into the conversation of The Odell Beckham Catch is going to surge your odds to take home some sort of trophy at the end of the year.
But what Nabers is doing right now isn’t just something that impresses the eye. Every receiving metric—down to the most advanced measured minutiae—says what he’s doing is for real. Even with Daniel Jones as his quarterback.
If any quarterback, like Daniels, becomes consistently electric enough, I’m not sure a wideout has a chance at this award. But quarterback play has been inconsistent at best the past few years in the NFL. If you think Nabers can do it all himself, +250 is fine value.
Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Arizona Cardinals (+350)
Gone are the +800 odds after he looked lost in his one reception, four receiving yards Week 1 performance. Harrison, as we noted, came online in a big way—really, in a Week 3 Nabers way—in Week 2.
There’s just generally too much odds-shifting with these wide receivers right now. I think Harrison will eventually win out on Nabers, though, so if you want him at this price, take him.
Caleb Williams, QB, Chicago Bears (+650)
This would need to be a big, big comeback—and soon. But the odds have been swinging wildly through three weeks already. This could represent some value.
As for me—I haven’t seen enough from Williams yet to believe he’s even having fun playing football. I’m not betting on a guy who looks miserable out there. Not this early in the season.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is thegreatdansby9) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
