The Milwaukee Brewers find themselves atop the National League Central standings entering Monday’s series opener at home against the Toronto Blue Jays and look to extend that lead at the expense of Blue Jays starting pitcher Jose Berrios.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-108, 8.5)
Berrios throughout his career has been a different pitcher at home than on the road, posting a lifetime 3.47 ERA with 0.9 home runs allowed and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to a 4.66 ERA with 1.5 home runs allowed and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings away from home.
Those splits have been further amplified this season with a 1.82 ERA and 0.7 home runs per nine innings allowed while registering a 3.76 road ERA with nearly 1.8 home runs per nine innings allowed, with his surface level numbers overall being due for regression.
While Berrios overall has a 2.80 ERA, his fielding independent is 4.39 with his 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings being a career low.
Behind Berrios is a bullpen that entered Sunday 29th in the league in ERA at 4.88 and an offense that entered Sunday 26th in runs per game with 4.8.
Brewers starting pitcher Colin Rea will look to keep his solid start to the 2024 season going as he has a 3.53 ERA with a 4.57 fielding independent as he has pitched to contact with just 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings
Helping Rea’s cause is a bullpen that is fifth in ERA at 3.34 and the lineup’s nearly 5.6 runs per game at home leading the National League.
With Berrios having struggled all throughout his career on the road the Brewers having an advantage both in the bullpen and at the plate, Milwaukee will get a home win to open the series on Monday.
The Play; Brewers -108
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