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Odds & Predictions for UFC 301: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg on Saturday

Odds & Predictions for UFC 301: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg on Saturday

Published:

By: Mike Turay

UFC 301 gets going this Saturday, May 4 with a 14-fight card you won’t want to miss. The event takes place live from the Farmasi Arena in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil. The highly anticipated card culminates in a flyweight title showdown between Alexandre Pantoja and Steve Erceg Hill.

The early preliminary card starts up at 6 p.m. ET on UFC Fight Pass followed by the prelims at 8 p.m. on ESPN 2/ESPN+. Main card coverage begins at 10 p.m. on ESPN+PPV.

There’ll be plenty of action starting with the early prelims where Ismael Bonfim clashes with Vinc Pichel at lightweight. The prelims feature emerging women’s strawweight Iasmin Lucindo taking on Karolina Kowalkiewicz. Joanderson Brito and Jack Shore close out the prelims in a featherweight showdown.

The fight of the night for most will be the return of Jose “Junior” Aldo. The former featherweight champion and UFC Hall of Fame inductee breaks his retirement to fight Jonathan Martinez in the co-main event.

In the main event, Pantoja looks to successfully defend his flyweight title for a second time. The 34-year-old defeated Brandon Moreno in July 2023 to capture the championship and followed that up with a title defense win over Brandon Royval at UFC 296. Ecreg is coming off a KO win over Matt Schnell in March. The challenger has a 12-1 record and hails from West Australia.

Here’s a look at the full list of odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook, along with straight-up picks for each fight.

UFC 301 odds

Early Preliminary card

Alessandro Costa: -125
Kevin Borjas: +105

Prediction: Borjas by knockout

Ismael Bonfim: -550
Vinc Pichel: +410

Prediction: Bonfim by decision

Dione Barbosa: -238
Ernests Kareckaite: +195

Prediction: Barbosa by submission

Mauricio Ruffy: -218
Jamie Mullarkey: +180

Prediction: Ruffy by knockout

Joaquim Silva: +170
Drakkar Klose: -205

Prediction: Klose by decision

Preliminary card

Elves Brener: +200
Myktybek Orolbai: -250

Prediction: Brenner by submission

Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +310
Iasmin Lucindo: -395

Prediction: Lucindo by decision

Jack Shore: +154
Joanderson Brito: -185

Prediction: Brito by knockout

Main card

Paul Craig: +425
Caio Borralho: -575

Prediction: Borralho by submission

Michel Pereira: -575
Ihor Potieria: +425

Prediction: Pereira by knockout

Anthony Smith: +360
Vitor Petrino: -470

Prediction: Petrino by knockout

Jonathan Martinez: -142
Jose Aldo: +120

Prediction: Aldo by decision

Alexandre Pantoja: -185
Steve Erceg: +154

Prediction: Pantoja by submission