The Minnesota Golden Gophers have been a money-making team for bettors all season with a 24-5 record against the spread but are in need of big straight-up wins down the stretch to get into the NCAA Tournament and will look to pick one up on Wednesday against the Indiana Hoosiers.
Indiana Hoosier vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (-4.5, 150)
The Golden Gophers have been a different team when at home, ranking 128th in the nation in points allowed on a per-possession basis but allowing 24.7 points fewer per 100 possessions when at home than on the road, ranking 44th in points allowed per possession when specifically looking at home games.
On the other end, a Minnesota offense that ranks 62nd in points scored on a per-possession basis and has far less extreme home and road splits, gets to face an Indiana defense that is ranked 261st in points allowed on a per-possession basis.
What has been most costly to Indiana this season is a failure to do the little things as the team ranks just 325th in the nation in turnovers forced per defensive play on defense and 341st in free throw shooting percentage at 65.6%.
This will allow Minnesota point guard Elijah Hawkins, who is second among qualifying Division I players in assists with 7.5 per game, to run its offense more efficiently.
Additionally, Indiana has failed to grab offensive rebounds despite its lineup having very few natural guards and featuring mostly forwards, grabbing 23.5% of its missed shots as offensive rebounds in road games, which ranks 260th in the nation.
With Indiana entering Wednesday having allowed at least 73 points in all four of its road games since the start of February, Minnesota will get revenge for a 74-62 loss on Jan. 12 at The Barn.
The Play: Minnesota -4.5
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