The Alabama Crimson Tide and Florida Gators both enter Tuesday’s clash in Gainesville with 20-9 records and are looking to ascend up a crowded upper-half of the SEC standings.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators (-1, 177.5)
When these teams last met on Feb. 21, Alabama pulled off a 98-93 overtime win in Tuscaloosa. The game was tied 85-85 entering overtime with both teams combining to shoot 17-of-62 from 3-point range.
There’s reason to think the 3-point shooting will remain cold with Florida’s defense being one of best there is — allowing opponents to shoot 27.9% from 3-point range, which ranks 14th in the nation.
The 3-point shooting has great significance in Alabama games with the Crimson Tide taking 48% of their field goal attempts from 3-point range, which is the 10th-highest 3-point attempt rate in the nation.
While Florida ranks 175th in points allowed on a per-possession basis, it allows 13.1 points per 100 possessions fewer at home than on the road while Alabama ranks 228th in points allowed per possession.
Despite Florida ranking 26th in the nation in points scored on a per-possession basis, it entered Tuesday ranked just 179th in 3-point shooting percentage at 33.9%. The Gators are grabbing an offensive rebound on 38.2% of their missed shots, which ranks third while ranking just 120th in 2-point shooting percentage.
Not only do the Gators’ big men create plenty of second chances but they also defend the rim, ranking 27th in the nation in defensive block rate with 8.4% of opponents’ shot attempts being blocked.
With Alabama’s 3-point shooting percentage dipping from 39.8% at home to 34.8% on the road and Florida’s main form of offense coming from second chances, the total in this game has been overinflated considering the first meeting was under the total in regulation until overtime was played.
The Play: Alabama vs. Florida Under 177.5
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