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Purdue vs. Michigan picks, best bets for Week 10 matchup

Purdue vs. Michigan picks, best bets for Week 10 matchup

Updated:

By: Nick Simon

We have night action in the Big House this evening as the Purdue Boilermakers head to Ann Arbor to visit the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines. The game will kick off 7:30 p.m. ET and will air on NBC.

Purdue (2-6, 1-4 Big Ten) is riding a three-game losing and last fell in a 31-14 loss to Nebraska last Saturday. The Boilermakers kept shooting itself in the foot and didn’t score until the fourth quarter, committing three turnovers and 99 yards worth of penalties. Quarterback Hudson Card went 16-32 for just 100 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.

Michigan (8-0, 5-0 Big Ten) is fresh off its bye week and will look to continue its dominance as it enters the home stretch of the regular season. The team was last seen demolishing Michigan State 49-0, a game where Heisman Trophy contender J.J. McCarthy threw for 287 yards and four touchdowns. Of course, the program has been under a media microscope for the past two weeks with new details of Connor Stalions and massive sign-stealing scandal emerging every day.

SP+ Rankings

Purdue: 82 overall, 86 offense, 65 defense
Michigan: 1 overall, 7 offense, 2 defense

Injury update

Purdue

OL Marcus Mbow – Questionable (Undisclosed)
OL Luke Griffin – Questionable (Leg)
WR Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen – Questionable (Undisclosed)
K Julio Macias – Questionable (Undisclosed)
DL Damarjhe Lewis – Out (Undisclosed)

Michigan

LB Kalel Mullings – Probable (Undisclosed)
WR Karmello English – Questionable (Undisclosed)

ATS/Total

Against The Spread in 2023

Purdue: 2-6 ATS
Michigan: 4-3-1 ATS

Total in 2023 (check here)

Purdue: Over 4-4
Michigan: Over 4-4

Team Pace

Purdue: 2.38 plays per minute of offense
Michigan: 1.90 plays per minute of offense

Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: Michigan -32.5
Total: 52.5
Moneyline: Michigan -9000, Purdue +2500

Opening line: Michigan -30
Opening total: 47.5

Weather

43 degrees, cloudy, 5 MPH winds W

Our Best Bet for Purdue vs. Michigan

Michigan -32.5

Fresh off its bye, Michigan should be able to get right back to ripping right through weaker Big Ten opponents, even with the sign-stealing scandal looming over the program. Purdue is struggling in the first year of the Ryan Walters era and is outmatched in every facet of the game today. Take the Wolverines to cover as a heavy home favorite.