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Kansas State vs. Texas picks, best bets for Week 10 matchup

Kansas State vs. Texas picks, best bets for Week 10 matchup

Updated:

By: Grace McDermott

The No. 25 Kansas State Wildcats take on the No. 7 Texas Longhorns in Austin in a Big 12 matchup in Week 10. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET on Saturday, November 4.

Kansas State (6-2, 4-1 Big XII) is coming off an absolute rout of Houston. They defeated the Cougars 41-0 last week, as Will Howard resumed his place as the primary starter at QB and went 15-for-17 for 164 yards and two touchdowns. DJ Giddens added two touchdowns on the ground, and the defense grabbed two interceptions. The Wildcats’ only conference loss has been against Oklahoma State.

Texas (7-1, 4-1 Big XII) easily took care of BYU in their latest game in a 35-6 victory. The Longhorns will likely be playing without starting quarterback Quinn Ewers in this matchup after a shoulder injury, which could cause them some trouble. In backup Maalik Murphy’s first start last week, he passed for two touchdowns and an interception. Texas will lean on star RB Jonathon Brooks this weekend, who has six straight games of 100-plus all-purpose yards.

Here’s everything you need to know and a pick for the game.

SP+ Rankings

Texas: 5 overall, 10 offense, 9 defense
Kansas: 13 overall, 11 offense, 23 defense

Injury update

Texas

QB Quinn Ewers – Out indefinitely (shoulder)

Kansas State

WR Keagan Johnson – Questionable (undisclosed)

ATS/Total

Against The Spread in 2023

Texas: 4-4 ATS
Kansas State: 6-2 ATS

Total in 2023

Texas: Over 2-6
Kansas State: Over 4-4

Team Pace

Texas: 2.32 plays per minute of offense
Kansa State: 2.35 plays per minute of offense

Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: Texas -4
Total: 50
Moneyline: Texas -180, K-State +150

Weather

78 degrees, sunny, 6 MPH winds SSE

Our Best Bet for Kansas State vs. Texas

Kansas State +4

If Ewers is out, Kansas State can keep this one tight. Texas has let a few teams come close this year — the Houston team that K-State whooped, for one example — and the lack of a starting quarterback could come back to bite them here. The Wildcats will be coming in ready to prove something after a huge win last week. I’m taking K-State to cover here.