Here are my favorite bets available on DraftKings Sportsbook for Wednesday’s MLB slate.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles
Alternate Total over 8.5 runs -130
The Cubs are the only team to see the over hit at a higher rate in divisional games (9-3) than the Blue Jays this season (14-7-1). Those two teams are the only two who’ve seen the over hit at a higher rate than the Orioles (12-7).
Nine-plus runs have been scored in five of Kyle Bradish’s 11 starts this season. That’s not always been on him, but the right-hander has had his share of rough moments in 2023. So has Jose Berrrios, although he’s been rolling lately.
The under is 1-4 in Berrios’ last five outings, with the one exception being a 20-run showing from Toronto’s offense. Speaking of offense, both lineups in this game rank among the top 10 in ISO and hard-contact rate against right-handed pitching this month. Either side could carry the load here, with Berrios due for a correction and Bradish being so up-and-down.
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Corey Seager over 1.5 +105
Josh Jung and Ezekiel Duran jump out as the lefty mashers in Texas’ lineup, but Seager has a slight advantage over the pair of righties on Wednesday. Reid Detmers is on the bump, and he’s allowed Seager to go 3-for-11 with a home run in their previous meetings — solid, but nothing staggering. But when considering what both Seager and Detmers are doing in lefty-on-lefty meetings this season, that line looks a bit more promising for the Texas SS.
Seager is hitting .360 with a .220 ISO against lefties this season. That’s been thanks to a whopping 51.1% hard-contact rate and a measly 28.9% ground-ball rate within the split. Furthermore, he has just an 11.3% strikeout rate against lefties (and his 3.8% walk rate within the split helps, too). Those numbers are all season-long, but when you focus on his last month of at-bats against left-handed pitching, there isn’t much fluctuation in the numbers.
Detmers, meanwhile, has allowed lefties to post a .333 average against him this season. He hasn’t allowed much in the way of power, surrendering just five extra-base hits to the 54 lefty bats he’s faced, but the last 25 he’s seen have posted a 29.4% line-drive rate. Also, Detmers only has a 20.4% strikeout rate against left-handed hitters, so Seager will have his share of chances to put the ball in play.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
