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Fantasy Football Picks: Eagles vs. Buccaneers DraftKings NFL DFS MNF Showdown Strategy

Pearce Dietrich gives his top DraftKings NFL Showdown picks for Wild Card Round Monday Night Football.

New Orleans Saints v Tampa Bay Buccaneers Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

Wild Card Weekend isn’t a weekend anymore. The Wild Card Round continues on Monday, and DraftKings Fantasy Football has a feature showdown contest to close out the first week of the NFL playoffs. Check out the NFL Showdown Slate DFS picks for the Wild Card Round Monday Night Football matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $2.25M Monday Night Millionaire [$1M to 1st] (PHI vs TB)


SHOWDOWN STRATEGY

Captain’s Pick

Mike Evans (CP $15,900)

Philadelphia’s pass defense surrenders touchdowns to receivers in bunches. Their 27 touchdowns allowed were the second-most in the 2023-24 season. Mike Evans scores touchdowns. He has 13 this season and 94 in his career. Baker Mayfield’s health is a concern, but everyone is injured heading into this matchup. The trick to this pick is style of play. Mike Evans does not need consistent performance from his quarterback. He never has. It was nice when he got it, but most of his career has been partnerships with errant passers. He is a big play receiver that just needs Baker Mayfield to be on target a couple times. In Week 16, Evans scored 27.6 DKFP against a Jacksonville pass defense that is equally as bad as the Eagles. If this game is close, then the Bucs hang in because of the play of Evans. If the underdog Bucs fall behind, then there will be more passing and more big shots thrown Evans’ way.

FLEX Plays

Rachaad White ($10,200)

The Eagles got off to a 10-1 start despite their terrible pass defense. They closed the season 1-5 because of their rush defense. In their defense, they faced a brutal schedule down the stretch. But no offense, a defense that can’t defend doesn’t deserve defense. Baker Mayfield isn’t healthy. The Buccaneers offensive volume will come on the ground. This team already leaned on White and was committed to the rush. In a winnable game that could come down to turnovers, White will play a big role. The Bucs are 6-2 when Mayfield doesn’t throw an interception. It wouldn’t be surprising to see White get 25 to 30 carries if the Buccaneers can move the chains. His 3.6 yards per carry is not inspiring, but his 272 carries are. Only Derrick Henry had more carries this season. Along with rushing volume, White caught 64 of 70 targets for 549 yards during the regular season.

Jalen Hurts ($11,600)

It’s more than a narrative that the Eagles limped into the playoffs. Philadelphia does not look good.Tampa Bay doesn’t look great either. Not only are the Bucs limping into the playoffs, they’re defaulting into the playoffs. The NFC South had to send a team to the playoffs. This is the same as Conference USA placing a team in a major bowl game. Jalen Hurts and his offensive line have looked out of sync over the last month. The Eagles play calling has been vanilla, and defenses are taking advantage of its simplicity. Again, much of this could be a matter of schedule difficulty. It’s important to not fall in love with Cinderella. The Bucs are a fun story, but they’re not a good team. They could pull off the upset, but it’s just as likely that Hurts rushes for 100 yards and two TDs while also lighting up one of the worst pass defenses in the league.

Chase McLaughlin ($4,800)

Kickers score points. Kickers are cheap. The ceiling is limited with kickers, but they fit showdown slates with specific scenarios. Neither of these teams are playing well offensively entering the Wild Card Round. The Bucs could choose a very conservative approach on offense. If their defense does their part and holds up against a struggling Eagles offense, then this could be a low scoring game settled by field goals. After losing six of eight games in the middle of the season, Tampa Bay fell to 4-7. Hope was not lost. They rallied and won five of their last six games. The Bucs can hang with the Eagles. Their week 18 win was a grind it out 9-0 victory over the Panthers. The highlight of the win was Chase McLaughlin’s 57-yard field goal. No one wants to hear this, but the Bucs’ kicker might be the story of the week in the NFL and DFS. McLaughlin has the third-highest field goal percentage in the NFC (93.5%), and he made seven of eight kicks beyond 50 yards this season.


Fades

DeVonta Smith ($8,600)

Limp, Eagles limp. That’s the chant on Monday night. At least the Eagles get an extra day of rest. It won’t likely help. Smith’s injury seems pretty serious. On top of that, the offense isn’t running smoothly. Is it injuries? Did the schedule reveal the true Eagles? Could it be the new offensive coordinator? Either way, something is not right in Philly. If Smith’s salary reflected all of these concerns, then he would be a decent high-upside pick. Unfortunately, his salary does not.


THE OUTCOME

The Buccaneers could upset the defending NFC Champions. Stranger things have happened. Tampa Bay is at home and neither team looks dynamic at the moment. It could happen, but it won’t. The Eagles won 11 games this season. Most of their wins were against bad teams. The Bucs are a bad team.

Final Score: Philadelphia Eagles 24, Tampa Bay Bucaneers 16

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $2.25M Monday Night Millionaire [$1M to 1st] (PHI vs TB)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.