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Fantasy Golf Picks — 2024 WM Phoenix Open Picks, Preview, Predictions

Pat Mayo makes his 2024 WM Phoenix Open picks while previewing the course, key stats and trends for this week’s event.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am - Round Three Photo by Al Chang/ISI Photos/Getty Images

Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2024 Waste Management Open Picks, bets, and One and Done — while also providing their 2024 Pebble Beach Recap and LIV Mexico Recap.


2024 WMPO — Picks & Preview | Info & Research | Stats/Tools

2024 WMPO— DraftKings Picks | Podcast | DK Ownership Projections

DraftKings Golf Strategy — How/Where to Research | DK Showdown/In Play Wagering | Building Lineups

2024 WM Phoenix Open Overview

  • Field: 132 Players
  • Cut: Top 65 and Ties
  • Lineup Lock: Thursday, February 8
  • Defending Champ: Scottie Scheffler

2024 WM Phoenix Open Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • Par 4s Gained: 450-500 Yards
  • Eagles Gained
  • Opportunities Gained

Mayo’s Key Stat Rankings powered by

2024 WM Phoenix Open Course

Course: TPC Scottsdale

  • Yardage: 7,261
  • Par: 71
  • Greens: Poa trivialis/Perennial rye overseed

DraftKings Showdown Streak

Going back-to-front is a minor edge chasing a birdie streak. Holes 17-18-1 play 0.25 strokes under par while Holes 8-9-10 play 0.03 strokes over par. The easiest of the holes in consideration is, pretty easily, the 332-yard Par 4 17th (39.1% birdie-or-better rate) — as good a starting point for a streak as any. Also, don’t rule out the in-round form. Heading into the 17th are two of the seven easiest holes on the course — a contrast to Hole #7 being the lead into the other streak-potential as the second toughest on the course.

2024 WM Phoenix Open: Past Winners

  • 2023: Scottie Scheffler -19
  • 2022: Scottie Scheffler -16
  • 2021: Brooks Koepka -19
  • 2020: Webb Simpson -17
  • 2019: Rickie Fowler -17
  • 2018: Gary Woodland -18
  • 2017: Hideki Matsuyama -17
  • 2016: Hideki Matsuyama -14
  • 2015: Brooks Koepka -15

2023: Scottie Scheffler

- He matched Nick Taylor with a 65 on Sunday (second best round of the day). He was better than Taylor just once in four rounds (fired a 64 on Friday)

-Scheffler led the field in Prox: 150-175, a distance range that all top-9 finishers gained

2022: Scottie Scheffler

- His 62 on Saturday was 2 strokes better than any other round for any other golfer during the tournament (the only round in which he topped Cantlay)

- Of the nine that gained 5+ strokes with the flat stick, six cashed top 10 checks

2024 WM Phoenix Open Picks

All WM Phoenix Open Picks, Bets

Justin Thomas

This feels like the chalk pick of the century, but here we are. JT’s recent form coupled with his event history is pretty hard to ignore. He could have won at Pebble if he’d just made a few putts Saturday, finishing as just one of two players inside the Top 20 who lost strokes on the green for the two rounds at Pebble Beach. Thomas has played in Phoenix every year since 2015, and hasn’t finished worse than T17 in any of the past six seasons.

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Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. (Subscribe for video or audio). Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2023 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Podcast of the Year and was a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time.

Mayo has been recognized across multiple sports (Football, Baseball & Golf), mediums (Video, Writing & Podcasting), genre (Humor), and game formats (Sports Betting, Daily Fantasy, and Traditional Season Long Fantasy).

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ThePME) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.